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| The price action of Financials (XLF) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The overall sentiment for Financials sector is very positive (overall 2.6, positive 3.2, negative -0.6) on 20251018. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.5), Price Level (2), Option Speculation (1.5), Broad Market Trend (0.4), and Sector Price Trend (-0.2) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1), and Market Risk Prefrence (0) will drive down the price. 'Buy the dips' is the preferred trading strategy. Hourly SMA 20 trend line is likely to provide a support from any pullbacks. The swing to upside will be significant considering the high positive sentiment forces (3.2). The extreme bullish overall sentiment (2.6) may signal the top of this uptrend. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on XLF trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Market Sentiment | Trend Sentiment | Action | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | 2% | 2.3% | 0.6 | -0.2 | Long | 2 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2025-10-17 | 4% | 2% | 52.18 | 6 | 0.81% | -0.19% | 0.5 | -0.2 | Long | 2 | -0.3 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2% | 1.6% | 51.76 | -18 | -2.76% | -0.38% | 0.5 | -0.1 | Long | 1.7 | -0.6 |
| 2025-10-15 | 3% | 1.4% | 53.23 | 31 | -0.04% | 0% | -0.2 | -0.1 | Long | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 2025-10-14 | 2% | 1% | 53.25 | 32 | 1.12% | 0% | 0 | -0.1 | Long | 1.8 | 2.1 |
| 2025-10-13 | 1% | 0.9% | 52.66 | 1 | 0.92% | -0.37% | -0.1 | -0.5 | Long | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2% | 1% | 2 | -0.1 | Long | 1.6 | 2.7 | ||||
| 2025-10-11 | 0% | 0.7% | 2 | -0.1 | Long | 1.6 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-10-10 | 1% | 0.9% | 52.18 | -38 | -2.16% | -0.37% | 2.2 | -0.1 | Long | 1.6 | -2.9 |
| 2025-10-09 | 1% | 0.9% | 53.33 | 14 | -0.34% | 0% | 2 | 0.7 | Long | 1.8 | -4.8 |
| Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale. | The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Market Sentiment | Trend Sentiment | Fundamentals | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | 2% | 2.3% | 1.7 | -0.1 | 2.5 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2025-10-17 | 4% | 2% | 52.18 | 6 | 0.81% | -0.19% | 1.7 | -0.1 | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| 2025-10-16 | 2% | 1.6% | 51.76 | -18 | -2.76% | -0.38% | 1.3 | 0 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 2025-10-15 | 3% | 1.4% | 53.23 | 31 | -0.04% | 0% | 0.8 | -0.1 | 2.1 | 3.9 |
| 2025-10-14 | 2% | 1% | 53.25 | 32 | 1.12% | 0% | 0.9 | -0.1 | 2.3 | 3.6 |
| 2025-10-13 | 1% | 0.9% | 52.66 | 1 | 0.92% | -0.37% | 0.7 | -0.4 | 2 | 5 |
| 2025-10-12 | 2% | 1% | 1.9 | 0 | 2.1 | 4.2 | ||||
| 2025-10-11 | 0% | 0.7% | 1.9 | 0 | 2.1 | 0 | ||||
| 2025-10-10 | 1% | 0.9% | 52.18 | -38 | -2.16% | -0.37% | 1.9 | 0 | 2.1 | -1.4 |
| 2025-10-09 | 1% | 0.9% | 53.33 | 14 | -0.34% | 0% | 2 | 0 | 2.3 | -3.3 |
| Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale. | The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| 1 (7) ECB’s Nagel Says Inflation Pretty Much on Target for Next Years Euro-area inflation will probably meet the European Central Bank’s 2% goal over the coming years, according to Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel said. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Oct 18, 2025 | |
| 2 (2) UK Economy Will Adjust to Brexit Shock Over Time, Bailey Says Britain’s decision to leave the European Union in 2016 will continue to weigh on UK growth for several years, but in the longer term the economy will adjust, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Oct 18, 2025 | |
| 3 (8) Emirates NBD to Invest Up to $3.05 Billion in RBL Bank Emirates NBD Bank PJSC will invest as much as $3.05 billion in Indian private lender RBL Bank Ltd., underscoring continued foreign investor interest in the south Asian nation’s financial sector. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Oct 18, 2025 | |
| 4 (5) ICICI Bank Beats Profit Forecast, Margins Under Pressure ICICI Bank Ltd. posted better-than-expected earnings as India’s second-largest private lender benefited from healthy loan growth, even as margins remained under pressure. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sat. Oct 18, 2025 | |
| 5 (-8) The alleged 'sweeping betrayal of trust' that rocked Zions bank and spooked Wall Street Zions Bancorporation lost $1 billion of its valuation in a single day on Thursday after disclosing $60 million worth of loans it had made that were unlikely to be repaid. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Sat. Oct 18, 2025 | |
| 6 (-6) Stocks tumble as credit fears spark bank selloff: Markets Wrap But is investor fear warranted or an overreaction to Wall Street concerns? (https://www.investmentnews.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 7 (8) Why Wells Fargo's Turnaround Just Hit High Gear Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC) jumped 7% after a strong Q3 beat. Analysts see more upside for WFC stock with the Fed’s asset cap lifted and a $40B buyback plan. (https://www.marketbeat.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 8 (8) Marsh & McLennan Targets $400 Million In Savings With AI Driven Efficiency Push Marsh & McLennan Companies (NYSE: MMC) reported better-than-expected Q3 performance, with higher consulting revenue and resilient margins. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 9 (5) Was The Panic Over Bad Loans That Sent Bank Stocks Reeling Overdone? Regional bank stocks rose on Friday, rebounding from a sell-off yesterday as investors assessed the fallout from recent bankruptcies and fraud allegations that have raised concerns about lending standards. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 10 (-5) How the government shutdown impacts the housing market: Loan availability, closing times, and more The government shutdown is impacting the housing market, from mortgage rates to closing times. Learn what to expect and how to protect yourself as a homeowner or buyer. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 11 (8) Truist Financial Corp. stock outperforms competitors on strong trading day Shares of Truist Financial Corp. TFC rallied 3.67% to $42.60 Friday, on what proved to be an all-around favorable trading session for the stock market, with the S&P 500 Index SPX rising 0.53% to 6,664.01 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average DJIA rising 0.52% to 46,190.61. The stock's rise snapped a two-day losing streak. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 12 (4) Here’s what banks are looking at to spot economic trouble, as credit quality sparks concerns Despite some fresh doubts about credit that banks addressed this week, the U.S. economy seems to be chugging along. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 13 (-5) Global Finance Chiefs Urged to Keep Calm as Trade War Escalates Finance chiefs from around the world wrapped up talks this week resigned to the reality that trade tensions, geopolitical mistrust and the euphoria over the US-led boom in artificial intelligence all pose increasingly entrenched risks to the global economy. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 14 (-8) BBVA’s Epic $19 Billion Hostile Bid Has Ended in Epic Failure BBVA SA Chairman Carlos Torres has egg on his face after his epic fight to acquire Spanish rival Banco Sabadell SA ended in epic failure. It’s hard to have much sympathy. This is what happens when you ignore almost all conventional wisdom on the challenges of hostile deals. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 15 (-7) Jamie Dimon's Cockroaches Keep Appearing The cockroach sightings are multiplying. Two regional US banks disclosed credit losses due to fraud on Thursday in a week when investors were already on edge from the twin failures of Tricolor Holdings and First Brands Group, as well as some choice comments from industry leaders about poor lending standards. The seemingly idiosyncratic blowups could be viewed as one-off stories of poor management or bad behavior with little in common. But as accusations of fraud mount among companies that have b (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 16 (-6) Troubled Real Estate Firm at Center of Banks’ Latest Loan Pinch Bad loans reported by Zions Bancorp NA and Western Alliance Bancorp this week can be traced back to the bankruptcy of a commercial real estate investment firm in Southern California earlier this year. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 17 (-6) ‘The tide went out’: How a string of bad loans has bank investors hunting for hidden risks Investors are focused on a specific type of lending made by banks to non-depository financial institutions, or NDFIs, as the source of possible contagion. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 18 (8) Interactive Brokers Boosts Profits As Lending Activity Soars Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beats expectations in Q3, with strong securities lending activity driving net interest income. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 19 (6) American Express, Visa share gains contribute to Dow's 116-point climb Shares of American Express and Visa are trading higher Friday afternoon, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average into positive territory. The Dow Dow Jones Industrial Average was most recently trading 116 points higher (0.3%), as shares of American Express American Express Co. and Visa Visa Inc. Cl A are contributing about a third of the index's intraday rally. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 20 (-4) Latest bank turmoil turns spotlight to 'NDFI' lending market. What is that and should you be worried? The broader concern is that exposure to private credit, which is less regulated and transparent, could result in consequences for the financial system. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 21 (8) Charles Schwab's Earnings Surge Marks Start Of Multi-Year Growth Run Charles Schwab reported better-than-expected Q3 results, with strong analyst ratings and potential for continued growth and capital returns. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 22 (-7) Regional banks' bad loans spark concerns on Wall Street Wall Street is concerned about the health of the nation’s regional banks, after a few of them wrote off bad loans to commercial customers in the last two weeks and caused investors to wonder if there might be more bad news to come. Zions Bank, Western Alliance Bank and the investment bank Jefferies surprised investors by disclosing various bad investments on their books, sending their stocks falling sharply this week. JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon added to the unease when he warned there might be more problems to come for banks with potentially bad loans. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 23 (8) American Express sees credit card spending accelerate, fueling a profit beat and raise American Express beat earnings expectations and raised its outlook, amid strong demand for its higher-priced premium Platinum card. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 24 (7) Giorgetti Says Italian Banks Can Help Pay for Meloni’s Tax Cuts Finance Minister Giancarlo Giorgetti said banks and other financial institutions will be able to cope with the additional tax burden the government is proposing to help finance a tax cut for Italy’s middle classes. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 25 (0) American Express Q3 FY2025 Earnings Call Transcript Here is the American Express Q3 FY2025 earnings call transcript. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 26 (8) American Express Lifts 2025 Outlook After Double-Digit Revenue Growth, Strong Consumer Spending American Express reported strong Q3 2025 results, with revenue growth of 11% and adjusted EPS exceeding analyst estimates. Raised full-year guidance. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 27 (4) Bank Stocks Recoup Some Losses as Earnings Ease Credit Fears The modest rebound follows a 6.3% plunge on Thursday, led by Zions and Western Alliance Bancorp after they said they were victims of fraud on loans to funds that invest in distressed commercial mortgages. The latest crop of earnings helped abate concerns of credit stress spreading across the group following the high-profile bankruptcies of auto lender Tricolor Holdings and car-parts supplier First Brands Group. Truist Financial Corp., Regions Financial Corp. and Fifth Third Bancorp all jumped after reporting lower provisions for credit losses than analysts expected. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 28 (5) Morgan Stanley Looks to Raise $7.5 Billion From Bond Sale Morgan Stanley’s deal follows a $10 billion sale on Tuesday by Goldman Sachs Group Inc. and a $5 billion deal by JPMorgan Chase & Co. on Wednesday. The average yield for US investment-grade bonds hit a one-year low of 4.69% on Thursday while spreads remain at historically low levels of below 0.8 percentage point, meaning funding costs remain attractive for higher-rated borrowers. Morgan Stanley’s deal is the only one in the market this Friday. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 29 (9) Schwab’s New Assets Rise 48% on Retail Investor Demand Daily average trades grew 30% to 7.42 million, topping the 7.25 million expected by analysts. “Strengthening organic growth trends, increasing adoption of wealth solutions and favorable macroeconomic tailwinds powered another quarter of record revenue and earnings per share,” Chief Executive Officer Rick Wurster said in a statement Thursday. Schwab has consistently benefited from an increased interest from retail customers in investing. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 30 (8) Amex Earnings Top Estimates as Platinum Card Demand Surges Initial demand for the revamped Platinum card exceeded the firm’s predictions, with US Platinum account acquisitions doubling from pre-refresh levels, Chief Executive Officer Steve Squeri said in a statement Friday. It’s the “strongest start we’ve ever seen with a refresh,” he said in an interview. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 31 (-6) Bank Stocks Slide in U.S. and Europe as Loan Worries Mount Banks are in focus Friday as investors gauge whether worries over U.S. regional lenders could spill over into the wider sector. Zions Bancorp said Thursday it would take a $60 million charge and revealed accusations of fraud against a set of borrowers who had ties to several other lenders in the in (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 32 (-7) Stock Futures Dive, Treasury Yields Sink Amid Bank Loan Fears U.S. stock futures were pointing to losses early Friday as the market frets about the potential for bad loans to hit the banking industry. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures were down 407 points, or 0.9%. S&P 500 futures were dropping 1.2% and Nasdaq 100 futures were falling 1.3%. Zions Bancorp (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 33 (-6) Dow Futures Drop Amid Market Jitters About Bad Bank Loans Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are falling in premarket trading amid stock market jitters about bad bank loans. (https://www.barrons.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
| 34 (3) American Express, Truist Financial and Fifth Third rise premarket; Eli Lilly falls American Express, Truist Financial and Fifth Third rise premarket; Eli Lilly falls (https://www.investing.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
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