Sector: Semiconductors

The ongoing advancements in AI technology are driving significant innovation, positioning the industry for robust growth. Concurrently, the shift towards advanced semiconductor production, particularly in cutting-edge areas like 3nm chip fabrication, underscores the sector's commitment to high-performance solutions. These developments not only enhance product capabilities but also cater to increasing market demands for sophisticated electronics. However, challenges related to resource constraints and global supply chain disruptions could hinder progress.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -2.4 is extremely bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.9 on 2026-10-16. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-3), Stock Price Trend (-2.4), Valuation Sentiment (-1), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (0), Price Level Sentiment (1), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.6) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2027-01-20 10:00, EPS: $15.4, P/E: 26.79

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TSM
Date	Attention	Price	StdDev	Price Level	RSI	Hourly RSI	Change	10 Day Trend	Trend Sentiment	Hourly Trend Sentiment	Hourly StdDev	Market Sentiment	Action	P	Fund.	News Sentiment
2026-10-16	0%(0.3%)	412.59	4.24%	-7	31	50	-2.36%	-1.31%	-2.4	-0.6	1.6%	0.1	Short	70%	4.6	4
2026-10-15	1%(0.3%)	422.55	3.68%	0	36	29	-1.75%	-0.8%	-1.7	-0.4	3%	0.1	Short	70%	4.5	3.8
2026-10-14	1%(0.1%)	430.08	3.46%	10	39	22	-3.38%	-0.56%	-1.5	-1.3	2.2%	0.4	Short	55%	4.8	4.2
2026-10-13	0%(0%)	445.12	3.61%	37	49	32	0.12%	-0.26%	-0.7	-0.8	1.8%	0.3	Short	55%	4.4	-1
2026-10-12	0%(0%)	444.59	4.08%	40	46	26	-1.92%	-0.17%	-0.8	-0.9	1.9%	0.5	Short	55%	4.3	-1
2026-10-11	0%(0%)								-0.1	-0.9		0.9			3.8	-1
2026-10-10	0%(0%)								-0.1	-0.9		0.9			3.9	-1
2026-10-09	0%(0.1%)	453.28	4.3%	54	55	28	-1.05%	0.06%	-0.1	-0.2	1.9%	0.8	Short	55%	4.1	-1
2026-10-08	0%(0.1%)	458.08	4.34%	61	63	22	-2.98%	0.15%	0.5	-1	1.9%	0.7	Wait	50%	4.2	7
2026-10-07	0%(0.1%)	472.16	4.29%	80	76	20	-2.12%	0.54%	1.3	-0.4	1.2%	1.1	Wait	50%	4	7
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.