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Sector: Semiconductors
| Recent advancements in AI technology stand out as a major driver of growth and innovation. TSMC's emphasis on producing cutting-edge semiconductors, particularly in the 3nm range, underscores its leadership in the industry. This dual focus enables the company to cater to evolving market demands while maintaining a competitive edge. However, the rapid pace of technological change necessitates continuous adaptation and investment in R&D. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.7 is very bearish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.8 on 2026-10-15. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-2.2), Stock Price Trend (-1.7), Valuation Sentiment (-1), Market Risk Appetite (-0.9), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (1), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | 1%(0.3%) | 422.55 | 3.68% | 0 | 36 | 29 | -1.75% | -0.8% | -1.7 | -0.4 | 3% | 0.1 | Short | 70% | 4.5 | 3.8 |
| 2026-10-14 | 1%(0.1%) | 430.08 | 3.46% | 10 | 39 | 22 | -3.38% | -0.56% | -1.5 | -1.3 | 2.2% | 0.4 | Short | 55% | 4.8 | 4.2 |
| 2026-10-13 | 0%(0%) | 445.12 | 3.61% | 37 | 49 | 32 | 0.12% | -0.26% | -0.7 | -0.8 | 1.8% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.4 | -1 |
| 2026-10-12 | 0%(0%) | 444.59 | 4.08% | 40 | 46 | 26 | -1.92% | -0.17% | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1.9% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 4.3 | -1 |
| 2026-10-11 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 3.8 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-10 | 0%(0%) | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.9 | 3.9 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-10-09 | 0%(0.1%) | 453.28 | 4.3% | 54 | 55 | 28 | -1.05% | 0.06% | -0.1 | -0.2 | 1.9% | 0.8 | Short | 55% | 4.1 | -1 |
| 2026-10-08 | 0%(0.1%) | 458.08 | 4.34% | 61 | 63 | 22 | -2.98% | 0.15% | 0.5 | -1 | 1.9% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 4.2 | 7 |
| 2026-10-07 | 0%(0.1%) | 472.16 | 4.29% | 80 | 76 | 20 | -2.12% | 0.54% | 1.3 | -0.4 | 1.2% | 1.1 | Wait | 50% | 4 | 7 |
| 2026-10-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 482.41 | 4.07% | 96 | 88 | 60 | -0.72% | 0.68% | 1.8 | -0 | 1% | 1.3 | Long | 70% | 3.8 | -1 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 2026-10-15 17:47:03 The drop in stock price despite beating estimates might reflect analyst skepticism regarding future performance or market conditions. |
| 2026-10-15 17:47:03 The article highlights extremely robust demand for AI chips, suggesting a positive trend in the tech industry, despite the stock drop. |
| 2026-10-15 17:47:03 TSMC's stock declined even though the company reported a record profit and robust demand for its AI chips, indicating a disconnect between financial performance and market perception. |
| 2026-10-15 17:00:55 The competitive landscape for AI chip manufacturing is intensifying, with various companies vying for contracts with TSMC, reflecting the industry's rapid evolution. |
| 2026-10-15 17:00:55 Despite TSMC's strong earnings reports, there is a notable disconnect as the stock price experiences declines, raising questions about market perception. |
| 2026-10-15 17:00:55 TSMC reported strong financial results, with significant growth in earnings and revenues, even as the broader market exhibits volatility. |
| 2026-10-15 17:00:55 Several articles discuss concerns about TSMC's high capital expenditure plans and how they negatively influence investor sentiment and stock performance. |
| 2026-10-15 17:00:55 The articles highlight a significant increase in demand for AI chips, driving record earnings and growth for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). |
| 2026-10-15 15:46:51 Analysts are providing insights on the semiconductor industry's growth driven by AI, reflecting optimistic market conditions. |
| 2026-10-15 15:46:51 TSMC's impressive financial performance indicates strong market demand and suggests stability in the company. |
| 2026-10-15 15:46:51 The increasing demand for AI technologies is significantly influencing market dynamics and company earnings. |
| 2026-10-15 13:47:02 TSMC is considering expanding its operations by exploring the possibility of a new fab in Texas. |
| 2026-10-15 13:47:02 TSMC faces intense competition among major customers for chip manufacturing capacity. |
| 2026-10-15 13:47:02 There is a significant increase in demand for semiconductors driven by the artificial intelligence sector. |
| 2026-10-15 13:47:02 TSMC has achieved record profits in the third quarter, indicating strong financial performance. |
| 2026-10-15 11:47:21 The mention of 'extremely robust demand' for AI chips indicates a positive industry trend and interest in AI technologies. |
| 2026-10-15 11:47:21 Despite favorable earnings, TSMC's stock experienced a decline, highlighting challenges in stock market response. |
| 2026-10-15 11:47:21 The articles discuss TSMC's strong earnings report, emphasizing the company's robust performance despite stock decline. |
| 2026-10-15 09:32:50 TSMC has demonstrated consistent earnings performance over multiple quarters, surpassing expectations and establishing market confidence. |
| 2026-10-15 09:32:50 Market analysts and investors are closely watching TSMC’s earnings reports for trends and indicators affecting the broader AI trade and semiconductor industry. |
| 2026-10-15 09:32:50 The demand for AI chips is noted as extremely robust, significantly contributing to TSMC's financial success in recent quarters. |
| 2026-10-15 09:32:50 TSMC has consistently reported record profits, highlighting strong performance in their earnings, particularly driven by demand for AI chips. |