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Sector: Semiconductors
| The focus on manufacturing capacity and infrastructure development is critical for sustaining growth amidst increasing market demand. TSM's strategic investments in new facilities position the company well to enhance production capabilities and meet customer needs effectively. This proactive approach not only boosts operational efficiency but also strengthens competitive advantage in the semiconductor sector. However, challenges related to logistics and supply chain management remain pertinent as the company scales its operations. |
| The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1 is bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.7 on 2026-07-24. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-1.9), Valuation Sentiment (-1.7), Stock Price Trend (-1), and Option Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (1.2), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| TSM | ||||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | RSI | Hourly RSI | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 0%(0.1%) | 403.81 | 4.66% | 17 | 28 | 27 | -2.81% | -0.72% | -1 | -0.7 | 1.6% | 0 | Short | 55% | 2.5 | 4 |
| 2026-07-23 | 0%(0.1%) | 415.49 | 4.32% | 30 | 42 | 40 | -1.34% | -0.5% | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.9% | 0.2 | Short | 55% | 3.2 | -1 |
| 2026-07-22 | 0%(0.4%) | 421.14 | 4.22% | 35 | 40 | 56 | -0.78% | -0.38% | -0.6 | 0 | 1.9% | 0.2 | Short | 55% | 4.1 | -1 |
| 2026-07-21 | 0%(0.4%) | 424.44 | 4.16% | 39 | 32 | 81 | 5.44% | -0.19% | -0.6 | 1 | 2.3% | 0.3 | Wait | 50% | 4.5 | 7 |
| 2026-07-20 | 0%(0.4%) | 402.54 | 4.75% | 8 | 32 | 54 | 1.08% | -1.15% | -2.4 | -0.1 | 1.1% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.8 | -1 |
| 2026-07-19 | 1%(0.6%) | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 4.9 | 6.5 | ||||||||||
| 2026-07-18 | 0%(0.4%) | -2.2 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 4.9 | -1 | ||||||||||
| 2026-07-17 | 0%(0.4%) | 398.23 | 4.66% | -3 | 40 | 35 | -2.88% | -0.86% | -2.2 | -0.3 | 2.1% | 0.2 | Short | 70% | 4.6 | 8 |
| 2026-07-16 | 2%(0.4%) | 410.06 | 3.98% | 6 | 42 | 38 | -2.29% | -0.78% | -1.7 | -0.4 | 1.6% | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| 2026-07-15 | 0%(0.1%) | 419.67 | 3.63% | 17 | 43 | 46 | -0.23% | -1.3% | -2 | -0.2 | 0.8% | 0.5 | Short | 65% | 4 | 4 |
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM): The Foundry Powerhouse Driving the Global AI Boom Sun. Mar 1, 2026 | ||
| 2026-07-24 22:49:42 TSMC's record revenue and margins highlight the company's financial strength amidst its pricing strategies. |
| 2026-07-24 22:49:42 The article discusses TSMC's upcoming price hikes, indicating which AI chip stocks possess real pricing power in a competitive landscape. |
| 2026-07-24 17:02:17 Despite TSMC's significant expansion plans, the market's negative reaction indicates skepticism regarding future growth and investment strategies. |
| 2026-07-24 17:02:17 TSMC's competitive position is emphasized due to its AA-rated balance sheet and robust financial metrics, suggesting strong long-term prospects. |
| 2026-07-24 17:02:17 The elevated CapEx guidance raised concerns about future spending impacts on margins and stock performance. |
| 2026-07-24 17:02:17 Despite stock performance issues, TSMC reported strong financial results, signifying a healthy operational status and growth potential. |
| 2026-07-24 17:02:17 The articles indicate concerns regarding the volatility of stock prices, particularly TSM's decline despite strong earnings, reflecting market anxieties. |