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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Jan 21, 2026

The expansion of semiconductor manufacturing, particularly in the U.S., represents a significant trend that TSMC is actively pursuing with initiatives like its Arizona facility. This expansion is driven by rising demand for semiconductors in various industries, alongside geopolitical considerations that necessitate a more localized supply chain. With a sentiment score of 8.0, the current outlook is highly favorable, suggesting a robust growth trajectory in the industry. However, this rapid expansion phase also presents challenges related to workforce development and potential regulatory hurdles.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for TSM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.2, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-21. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-1.4), Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Stock Price Trend (-0.2) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Valuation Sentiment (0.4), Sector Price Trend (3), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (5.5) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-15 10:00, EPS: $10.5, P/E: 31.06

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-210%(0.9%)      326.18 64    -0.31%    -0.03%    -0.2    -0.24%    1.7%    0.9    Short    55%    5.5    -1   
2026-01-200%(0.9%)      327.19 68    -4.45%    0.15%    0.1    -0.27%    2.1%    0.6    Short    55%    5.4    7   
2026-01-190%(0.9%)    3.7    0.24%    2.5          5.3    -1   
2026-01-181%(0.9%)    3.7    0.24%    2.4          4.9    7   
2026-01-170%(0.7%)    3.7    0.24%    2.4          4.8    -1   
2026-01-161%(0.7%)      342.44 92    0.2%    0.71%    3.7    0.24%    2.2%    2.2    Long    55%    4.8    5.7   
2026-01-154%(0.6%)      341.76 95    4.47%    1.18%    3.4    0.15%    2.5%    1.9    Long    70%    4.6    5.8   
2026-01-140%(0%)      327.15 79    -1.17%    0.84%    2.1    -0.06%    0.9%    1.9    Long    65%    3.5    6.5   
2026-01-130%(0%)      331.03 88    -0.2%    0.95%    1.9    0.15%    1.3%    1.3    Long    65%    3.4    6   
2026-01-120%(0%)      331.69 94    2.52%    0.92%    2    0.22%    1.5%    0.7    Long    55%    3.3    4.7   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-21 17:01:48 TSMC’s recent earnings reports are a topic of discussion, showing strong performance that exceeds analyst expectations.
2026-01-21 17:01:48 A focus on broader industry trends that could impact TSMC’s performance, including advancements and shifts in technology and competition.
2026-01-21 17:01:48 The articles highlight TSMC's strategic position in the semiconductor industry and its ability to maintain a competitive edge over rivals.
2026-01-21 17:01:48 Analysts express optimism about TSM's growth and stock performance, reflecting a positive outlook on the semiconductor market.
2026-01-21 17:01:48 Several articles discuss investment activities related to TSM, indicating strong market interest and confidence in the company's future performance.


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