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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Jan 20, 2026

The theme of expanding semiconductor manufacturing focuses on the significant growth of production capabilities, especially within the U.S. TSMC's investment in areas like Arizona underscores a strategic shift to increase domestic production and reduce supply chain risks. This expansion is expected to enhance technological development and create job opportunities in the semiconductor sector, fostering innovation and competitiveness. However, the increased costs of establishing facilities and potential regulatory challenges could impact profitability.

The price action of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TSM is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.1, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-20. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (5.4), Sector Price Trend (1.8), Valuation Sentiment (0.3), Stock Price Trend (0.1), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (-0.3), and Market Risk Appetite (-2.7) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-04-15 10:00, EPS: $10.48, P/E: 31.22

TSM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-200%(0.9%)      327.19 68    -4.45%    0.15%    0.1    -0.27%    2.1%    0.6    Short    55%    5.4    7   
2026-01-190%(0.9%)    3.7    0.24%    2.5          5.3    -1   
2026-01-181%(0.9%)    3.7    0.24%    2.4          4.9    7   
2026-01-170%(0.7%)    3.7    0.24%    2.4          4.8    -1   
2026-01-161%(0.7%)      342.44 92    0.2%    0.71%    3.7    0.24%    2.2%    2.2    Long    55%    4.8    5.7   
2026-01-154%(0.6%)      341.76 95    4.47%    1.18%    3.4    0.15%    2.5%    1.9    Long    70%    4.6    5.8   
2026-01-140%(0%)      327.15 79    -1.17%    0.84%    2.1    -0.06%    0.9%    1.9    Long    65%    3.5    6.5   
2026-01-130%(0%)      331.03 88    -0.2%    0.95%    1.9    0.15%    1.3%    1.3    Long    65%    3.4    6   
2026-01-120%(0%)      331.69 94    2.52%    0.92%    2    0.22%    1.5%    0.7    Long    55%    3.3    4.7   
2026-01-110%(0.1%)    2.5    0.03%    1.7          3.5    -1   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-20 17:01:40 There is a noticeable shift in how the market perceives semiconductor companies, viewing them as essential players in the technological landscape due to AI advancements.
2026-01-20 17:01:40 The articles reflect on the volatility of Taiwan Semiconductor's stock performance, including both highs and lows.
2026-01-20 17:01:40 The competitive landscape of the semiconductor industry, particularly between Taiwan Semiconductor and Intel, is a recurring theme in the articles.
2026-01-20 17:01:40 Many articles discuss Taiwan Semiconductor's strong revenue and earnings growth, showcasing its financial health and success.
2026-01-20 17:01:40 The articles highlight the significant growth and demand for AI chips, demonstrating how companies like Taiwan Semiconductor are benefiting from this trend.
2026-01-20 11:50:11 The article discusses the implications of strong performance on TSMC's stock and whether it is a good time to sell or buy.
2026-01-20 11:50:11 TSMC shows strong earnings driven by the robust demand in the AI chip market.
2026-01-20 11:50:11 The increasing demand for AI chips significantly boosts the stock performance of companies like TSMC.
2026-01-20 09:38:04 TSMC's strategic expansion to strengthen its position in the competitive landscape of semiconductor manufacturing.
2026-01-20 09:38:04 The focus on increasing domestic production capabilities in response to global supply chain issues.
2026-01-20 09:38:04 The influence of recent trade agreements on the semiconductor industry and U.S.-China relations.
2026-01-20 09:38:04 The increase in semiconductor manufacturing presence in the U.S., particularly through expansions like TSMC's in Arizona.


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