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| Long-term bonds have shown irregular behavior recently, contributing to uncertainty in yield expectations. Market sentiment has turned negative, impacting investor confidence towards these assets. Economic indicators and monetary policy adjustments often influence long-term treasury performance, making this area particularly sensitive to macroeconomic developments. As such, fluctuations in interest rates can significantly sway investor decisions. The price action of Long-Term Treasuries (TLT) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.TLT is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.6 on 2025-12-10. The forces of Asset Sentiment (-2), and Asset Price Trend (-0.4) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Option Sentiment (0.9) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on TLT trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| TLT | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-10 | 0%(0%) | 88.29 | 24 | 0.38% | -0.22% | -0.4 | 0.11% | 0.2% | -0.3 | Long | 55% | -2 | 0 |
| 2025-12-09 | 0%(0%) | 87.96 | 10 | 0.09% | -0.22% | -0.5 | 0% | 0.2% | -0.3 | Short | 55% | -2 | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | 0%(0%) | 87.88 | 0 | -0.33% | -0.22% | -0.5 | 0% | 0.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | 0%(0%) | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-06 | 0%(0%) | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4 | 2.5 | 0 | |||||||
| 2025-12-05 | 0%(0%) | 88.17 | 2 | -0.46% | -0.11% | -1.4 | 0% | 0.4% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.5 | -2 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0%(0%) | 88.58 | 10 | -0.54% | 0% | -1.1 | -0.28% | 0.2% | 1.9 | Short | 60% | 7 | 2 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0%(0%) | 89.06 | 30 | 0.28% | 0% | -0.2 | -0.05% | 0.2% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0%(0%) | 88.81 | 19 | 0.05% | -0.11% | -0.5 | -0.13% | 0.1% | 2 | Short | 55% | 7 | 0 |