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U.S. Large Cap (SPY) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Dec 17, 2025

The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.8 is bearish. The market sentiment at 0 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for SPY since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.5 on 2025-12-17. The forces of Option Sentiment (-1.3), and Asset Price Trend (-0.8) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), and Asset Sentiment (1.8) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Market
Sentiment
ActionPAsset
Sentiment
News
Sentiment
2025-12-171%(1.1%)      671.4 34      -1.1%      -0.19%      -0.8      -0.1%      -0.1      Short    65%    1.8      5     
2025-12-161%(1%)      678.84 54      -0.34%      -0.03%      -0.2      -0.1%      0.2      Short    78%    2.1      3.6     
2025-12-151%(1%)      681.19 61      -0.08%      0.01%      -0.3      -0%      0      Short    65%    1.6      1     
2025-12-142%(1.3%)    -0.4      0.4      1.8      0     
2025-12-131%(1.1%)    -0.4      0.4      1.9      2.7     
2025-12-121%(1.1%)      681.74 64      -1.06%      -0.03%      -0.4      -0%      0.1      Short    65%    1.9      -0.6     
2025-12-111%(1.1%)      689.06 82      0.25%      0.15%      0.3      0%      0.1      Short    85%    1.9      2.9     
2025-12-100%(1%)      687.35 80      0.66%      0.18%      0.3      0%      0.1      Short    85%    1.8      5     
2025-12-091%(1.1%)      682.82 70      -0.13%      0.21%      0.2      -0%      0.2      Wait    50%    1.9      0.7     
2025-12-083%(1%)      683.7 72      -0.28%      0.37%      0.4      0%      0.4      Long    65%    2.4      3.7     
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. The trend sentiment plus market sentiment (moving force) is negative, and market sentiment change is negative. The price level is not too low.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

 
1 (8) How These 2 Stocks Won 2025's AI Race—And What's In Store for 2026 The tech sector's again leading the S&P 500 this year. While companies leveraged to AI have posted strong gains, Micron and Seagate may be the biggest winners. (https://www.marketbeat.com/) Wed. Dec 17, 2025
2 (5) S&P 500 Set to Open Up as Market Makes Sense of Jobs Data Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq futures are rising in premarket trading as the stock market tries to make sense of jobs data. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Dec 17, 2025
3 (6) Warren Buffett Sells Apple Stock and Buys a Trillion-Dollar AI Stock Up 12,180% Since Its IPO Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway bought stock in Google-parent Alphabet during the third quarter. (https://www.fool.com/) Wed. Dec 17, 2025
4 (5) Stock Market Today: S&P 500 strives to break 3-day losing streak with Dow and Nasdaq called higher; Tesla stock eyes $500; Micron earnings on tap; silver hits record above $65. Follow all the latest U.S. market action for Wednesday here to see if stocks can recover their poise after the latest pullback on tech-valuation concerns. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Wed. Dec 17, 2025
5 (-4) US stocks finished mostly lower with price action choppy after a deluge of mixed data including the jobs report - Newsquawk Asia-Pac Market Open ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
 
6 (-5) Stock futures slip as traders absorb shaky U.S. economic data: Live updates The S&P 500 and the Dow Industrials each booked a third consecutive losing session on Tuesday. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
7 (8) Wall Street sees rare earnings growth supporting S&P’s bull case There were only two other instances in the past 35 years when the S&P 500 posted double-digit earnings growth for 3 straight years. Read on (https://financialpost.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
8 (10) SPYM Crosses $100 Billion in Record-Breaking Rally State Street's low-cost S&P 500 ETF doubled from $50 billion to $100 billion in record time as investors piled into equities. (https://www.etftrends.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
9 (7) Wells Fargo expects a liquidity rebound to favor buying S&P 500 dips. Here’s why. Wells Fargo expects a liquidity rebound to favor buying S&P 500 dips. Here’s why. (https://www.investing.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
10 (5) Big Tech stocks are getting cheaper, and that could mean gains of up to 60% S&P 500 stocks may be expensive relative to their historical averages, but many are cheaper than they were at the start of the quarter. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
 
11 (7) S&P 500's AI Fuel Tank Still Full With 7,700 Target From Citi Citi forecasts strong growth for S&P 500, driven by AI adoption and Big Tech earnings. However, volatility risks may increase. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
12 (6) S&P 500: Risk-On Market Signals Persist Market Analysis by covering: Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund ETF Shares, SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust, iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF, State Street® Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® ETF. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025
13 (7) Big Tech stocks are getting cheaper, and that could mean gains of up to 60% S&P 500 stocks may be expensive relative to their historical averages, but many are cheaper than they were at the start of the quarter. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Dec 16, 2025


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