The U.S. stock market has been experiencing significant fluctuations with a mixed sentiment surrounding major indices and sectors. While the S&P 500 has recently reached new all-time highs, concerns regarding volatility and sector-specific pressures, particularly in technology, have raised investor caution. The influence of Federal Reserve policies continues to impact market dynamics, leading to ongoing discussions about investment strategies. Despite some positive trends, the overall market remains susceptible to uncertainties and shifts in investor sentiment. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.3 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for SPY since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.4 on 2026-02-04. The forces of Option Sentiment (-1.3), and Asset Price Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Asset Sentiment (1.2) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

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SPY
Date	Attention	Price	StdDev	Price Level	Change	10 Day Trend	Trend Sentiment	Hourly Trend	Hourly StdDev	Market Sentiment	Action	P	Asset Sentiment	News Sentiment
2026-02-04	1%(0.6%)	686.1	0.62%	22	-0.48%	0.01%	-0.3	-0.07%	0.6%	0	Short	55%	1.2	1.4
2026-02-03	0%(0.7%)	689.44	0.6%	39	-0.86%	0.17%	0	-0.01%	0.5%	0.3	Long	55%	2.2	4
2026-02-02	1%(0.9%)	695.4	0.6%	76	0.51%	0.06%	0.3	0.03%	0.3%	0.2	Long	55%	2.1	3.8
2026-02-01	0%(0.7%)						0.2			0.7			2.5	-7
2026-01-31	0%(0.7%)						0.2			0.8			2.7	0
2026-01-30	1%(0.7%)	691.88	0.63%	58	-0.32%	0%	0.2	-0.03%	0.3%	0.4	Short	55%	2.7	1.6
2026-01-29	1%(0.6%)	694.07	0.68%	71	-0.21%	0.04%	0.3	-0.01%	0.4%	0.5	Long	55%	2.7	0.8
2026-01-28	2%(0.6%)	695.56	0.68%	82	0.01%	0.03%	0.4	0.01%	0.2%	0.4	Long	55%	2.8	4.4
2026-01-27	1%(0.4%)	695.51	0.65%	85	0.4%	0%	0.5	0.04%	0.3%	0.5	Long	55%	3	4.3
2026-01-26	0%(0.3%)	692.76	0.62%	72	0.53%	-0.01%	0	0.01%	0.3%	0.4	Long	55%	2.8	4.3
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Weak trend sentiment and negative hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.