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| Recent developments highlight a dynamic landscape with significant fluctuations and investor reactions influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic forecasts. Major indices have shown a resurgence supported by positive signals of economic growth and tariff relief, particularly in the U.S. market. Tech stocks are gaining attention due to advancements and strong earnings potential, while value-oriented stocks are also emerging in market discussions. However, overall sentiment remains mixed as market volatility persists. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for SPY since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-26. The forces of Asset Sentiment (2.8), Asset Price Trend (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Option Sentiment (-1.3) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-26 | 0%(0.3%) | 692.76 | 72 | 0.53% | -0.01% | 0 | 0.01% | 0.3% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| 2026-01-25 | 0%(0.3%) | -0.1 | 0.07% | 0.6 | 2.4 | 0 | |||||||
| 2026-01-24 | 0%(0.4%) | -0.1 | 0.07% | 0.5 | 2.1 | -6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-23 | 0%(0.6%) | 689.13 | 52 | 0.06% | 0% | -0.1 | 0.07% | 0.4% | 0.3 | Long | 55% | 2.5 | 4 |
| 2026-01-22 | 1%(0.7%) | 688.73 | 50 | 0.51% | -0.01% | -0.1 | 0.06% | 0.7% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 3 | 3.9 |
| 2026-01-21 | 1%(0.9%) | 685.24 | 30 | 1.13% | -0.1% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 0.7% | 0.4 | Short | 55% | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 0%(0.7%) | 677.56 | -9 | -2.04% | -0.14% | -1.2 | -0.13% | 0.9% | 0.4 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 5 |
| 2026-01-19 | 0%(0.9%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.9 | 3 | 1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 1%(0.9%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 2.7 | -2.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 1%(0.7%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 2.6 | 6 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Rally or Reckoning? Markets Soar While Jobs Stall — What Do Investors Really Believe? Fri. Jan 9, 2026 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or Risky Calm? Are Markets Pricing a Soft Landing—or Ignoring the Storm? Mon. Dec 22, 2025 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or False Calm? What December 19’s Price Action Is Really Saying Fri. Dec 19, 2025 | ||
| ● Rate Cuts or Reality Check? Why Markets Fell Even as Optimism Lingers Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Is the Market Betting on Growth or Bracing for Trouble? Mon. Dec 15, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (0) S&P 500 futures are little changed after index rises ahead of this week’s Big Tech earnings: Live updates More than 90 S&P 500 companies are slated to report quarterly results this week. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Mon. Jan 26, 2026 | ||
| 2 (8) Cisco, Apple share gains contribute to Dow's 311-point jump Buoyed by positive gains for shares of Cisco and Apple, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading up Monday afternoon. Shares of Cisco Cisco Systems Inc. and Apple Apple Inc. are contributing to the blue-chip gauge's intraday rally, as the Dow Dow Jones Industrial Average is trading 311 points, or 0.6%, higher. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Mon. Jan 26, 2026 | ||
| 3 (5) S&P 500: How Much Upside Is Left? What A 4th Year Of Gains Could Look Like (https://www.benzinga.com/) Mon. Jan 26, 2026 | ||
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