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| The U.S. Large Cap market, especially represented by the SPY ETF, has experienced considerable fluctuations influenced by diverse factors such as geopolitical tensions and economic policies. Large-cap stocks have shown potential resilience amidst these challenges, particularly in the technology sector, which benefits from advancements in AI and favorable earnings. Recent performances indicate a resurgence in U.S. stocks, with significant contributions from major indices highlighting growth signals. However, ongoing market volatility continues to pose risks to investor sentiment and overall market stability. The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for SPY since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0 on 2026-01-24. The forces of Asset Sentiment (2.1), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SPY | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 0%(0.4%) | -0.1 | 0.07% | 0.5 | 2.1 | -6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-23 | 0%(0.6%) | 689.13 | 52 | 0.06% | 0% | -0.1 | 0.07% | 0.4% | 0.3 | Long | 55% | 2.5 | 4 |
| 2026-01-22 | 1%(0.7%) | 688.73 | 50 | 0.51% | -0.01% | -0.1 | 0.06% | 0.7% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 3 | 3.9 |
| 2026-01-21 | 1%(0.9%) | 685.24 | 30 | 1.13% | -0.1% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 0.7% | 0.4 | Short | 55% | 3.2 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-20 | 0%(0.7%) | 677.56 | -9 | -2.04% | -0.14% | -1.2 | -0.13% | 0.9% | 0.4 | Wait | 50% | 2.9 | 5 |
| 2026-01-19 | 0%(0.9%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.9 | 3 | 1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 1%(0.9%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 2.7 | -2.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 1%(0.7%) | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.8 | 2.6 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(0.7%) | 691.7 | 68 | -0.05% | 0.13% | 0.3 | 0.03% | 0.3% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 2.7 | 7.3 |
| 2026-01-15 | 2%(0.7%) | 692.02 | 70 | 0.24% | 0.14% | 0.3 | -0.01% | 0.4% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 2.7 | 5.4 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Rally or Reckoning? Markets Soar While Jobs Stall — What Do Investors Really Believe? Fri. Jan 9, 2026 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or Risky Calm? Are Markets Pricing a Soft Landing—or Ignoring the Storm? Mon. Dec 22, 2025 | ||
| ● Relief Rally or False Calm? What December 19’s Price Action Is Really Saying Fri. Dec 19, 2025 | ||
| ● Rate Cuts or Reality Check? Why Markets Fell Even as Optimism Lingers Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| ● Is the Market Betting on Growth or Bracing for Trouble? Mon. Dec 15, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-24 16:15:28 Equities are showing resilience despite geopolitical tensions. |
| 2026-01-24 15:46:31 The S&P 500 and Nasdaq indices are undergoing volatility affected by geopolitical issues. |
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