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U.S. Large Cap (SPY) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Sat. Dec 13, 2025

The price action of U.S. Large Cap (SPY) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for SPY since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-13. The forces of Asset Sentiment (1.8), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Asset Price Trend (-0.4) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Market
Sentiment
ActionPAsset
Sentiment
News
Sentiment
2025-12-131%(1.1%)    -0.4      0.4      1.8      2.7     
2025-12-121%(1.1%)      681.74 64      -1.06%      -0.03%      -0.4      -0.01%      0.1      Short    65%    1.9      -0.6     
2025-12-111%(1.1%)      689.06 82      0.25%      0.15%      0.3      0.04%      0.1      Short    85%    1.9      2.9     
2025-12-100%(1%)      687.35 80      0.66%      0.18%      0.3      0.03%      0.1      Short    85%    1.9      5     
2025-12-091%(1.1%)      682.82 70      -0.13%      0.21%      0.2      -0.01%      0.2      Wait    50%    1.8      0.7     
2025-12-083%(1%)      683.7 72      -0.28%      0.37%      0.4      0.01%      0.3      Short    55%    1.9      3.7     
2025-12-071%(0.6%)    1.1      0.8      2.4      -7     
2025-12-061%(0.4%)    1.1      0.8      2.3      7     
2025-12-051%(0.3%)      685.64 79      0.17%      0.49%      1.1      0.04%      0.4      Short    85%    2.2      2.8     
2025-12-040%(0.1%)      684.45 79      0.09%      0.33%      0.4      0.1%      0.3      Short    85%    2.3      6     
 
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Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-12-13 22:46:09 The stock market's performance is heavily featured, particularly the S&P 500 index.
2025-12-13 16:16:12 Expectations are high for the S&P 500 to see substantial gains based on earnings growth forecasts.
2025-12-13 16:15:24 Stocks are frequently mentioned, especially in relation to IPOs and private market valuations.
2025-12-13 09:33:39 The S&P 500 is a focal point for growth expectations among investors.


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