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| The semiconductor industry is experiencing robust growth driven by advancements in AI technology and increasing demand for chips. Major players like TSMC, Nvidia, and Intel are pivotal, with a significant focus on AI-related applications and memory chip markets. However, challenges such as fluctuating chip prices and production concerns continue to impact investor sentiment. Overall, the outlook remains positive due to ongoing investments and technological progress. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.2, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-25. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.2), Valuation Sentiment (2.2), Sector Price Trend (1.8), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Broad Market Trend (-0.1), and Market Risk Appetite (-3) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | 0%(5.6%) | 1.8 | 0.03% | 0.7 | 3.2 | -0.5 | |||||||
| 2026-01-23 | 2%(6.1%) | 344.71 | 82 | -1.14% | 0.74% | 1.8 | 0.03% | 0.8% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | 3.3 | 3.4 |
| 2026-01-22 | 5%(6%) | 348.67 | 92 | 0.15% | 0.72% | 3.1 | 0.14% | 1.4% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 3.8 | 2.3 |
| 2026-01-21 | 9%(6.1%) | 348.14 | 96 | 3.2% | 0.6% | 3 | 0.09% | 1.2% | 1.2 | Long | 70% | 4 | 2.5 |
| 2026-01-20 | 6%(6.3%) | 337.35 | 83 | -1.5% | 0.58% | 1.8 | -0.09% | 0.7% | 0.5 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 5.7 |
| 2026-01-19 | 7%(6.1%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.3 | 3.5 | 4.6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 10%(6.1%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.4 | 3.6 | 4.1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 4%(6.1%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.3 | 3.4 | 5.1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(6%) | 342.47 | 95 | 1.56% | 0.89% | 2.6 | 0.21% | 1.4% | 2 | Long | 60% | 3.5 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-15 | 6%(6%) | 337.22 | 90 | 1.58% | 1.11% | 2.8 | 0.03% | 1.7% | 1.8 | Long | 55% | 3.2 | 4.8 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Surge as AI Optimism Peaks — But Are Valuations Running Ahead of Reality? Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| ● AI Euphoria Meets Reality: Semiconductors Rally as Headlines Surge on CES Breakthroughs Mon. Jan 5, 2026 | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (-6) Bill Gates Issues Warning on AI Investment Hype, Urges Caution Bill Gates on Wednesday warned the AI industry will be "hypercompetitive," and that "a reasonable percentage" of today's pricey tech stocks will lose a lot of their value. (https://www.investopedia.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 2 (8) This Stock Is Quietly Becoming a Cornerstone of the Artificial Intelligence Boom Micron Technology's advanced memory chips are proving essential in the AI race. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 3 (7) AI teams up with humans: How work will change Industry leaders say AI is becoming a 'teammate' in the workplace, boosting productivity and creativity—but workers and companies must learn to adapt responsibly. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-3) AI productivity could become 2026 risk if gains lead to job losses Moody's Analytics Chief Economist Mark Zandi laid out the three most significant factors that will contribute to or hinder US economic growth in 2026 in an article posted on LinkedIn: President Trump's tariff agenda, AI adoption, and monetary policy. Zandi speaks with Morning Brief Host Julie Hyman about his outlook on the impact of artificial intelligence in 2026 and how much the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by. Also watch Mark Zandi lay out the case for why the Trump administration's tariff policies could create a major headwind to growth and his perspective on wealth distribution in the K-shaped economy. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 5 (8) The 4 Best AI Stocks to Buy as Trillion-Dollar Tech Shapes a Once-in-a-Lifetime Investment Opportunity Robotaxis could revolutionize the transportation industry unlike any technology since the automobile was invented. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 6 (8) What Are the 3 Top Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy Right Now? AI chip stocks still have a lot of upside from here. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 7 (5) Better Agentic AI Stock: SoundHound AI vs. Salesforce SoundHound and Salesforce are betting big on agentic AI. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 8 (8) Singapore to invest over $779 million in public AI research through 2030 The Singapore government will invest over S$1 billion ($778.8 million) in public artificial intelligence research through 2030 to strengthen the nation's capabilities and global competitiveness, it said on Saturday. The Ministry of Digital Development and Information said that the government will invest in specific priority areas of research, such as building responsible and resource-efficient AI, and in developing the nation's talent from pre-university to faculty. Some funds will also go towards building capabilities to support the adoption and application of AI by industries, it said in a press release. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 9 (7) Weekend Tech Roundup: Nvidia's China Strategy, Taiwan Semiconductor's Shift, Intel's Q4 Earnings And More The week's tech roundup spans Nvidia navigating strong China demand despite constraints, Taiwan Semiconductor shifting toward next-generation manufacturing, Intel topping Q4 earnings expectations, Netflix casting doubt on Paramount's Warner Bros bid, and Elon Musk reviving Tesla's Dojo3 supercomputer project. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 10 (-5) DeepMind chief Demis Hassabis warns AI investment looks ‘bubble-like’ Google DeepMind chief Sir Demis Hassabis has warned that exuberance in parts of the AI industry looks increasingly “bubble-like”, while arguing... (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 11 (7) These 5 tech stocks could be big winners this earnings season Beyond the “Magnificent Seven” names, Wall Street analysts see opportunities in software and specialized semiconductor plays. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 12 (7) China Poised to Approve Nvidia's H200 Chips for Import. Here's What It Means for Investors This could be a major catalyst for the AI chipmaker. (https://www.fool.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 13 (1) Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang in Shanghai amid China regulatory headwinds Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is in Shanghai, a person briefed on the matter said on Saturday, as the U.S. chip giant faces fierce competition from local rivals and scrutiny from Chinese authorities. The timing of Huang's trip, to kick off annual celebrations with Nvidia's China employees, is routine. He is expected to attend an Nvidia party in Shanghai on Saturday before travelling to Beijing, Shenzhen and then Taiwan, another person with knowledge of the plans said. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 14 (0) Did everyone forget about DeepSeek? What Wall Street is getting wrong about Chinese AI. Shares of U.S. hyperscalers seem to have put DeepSeek in the rearview mirror. But if you look closely, a different story emerges. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
| 15 (7) Who’s behind AMI Labs, Yann LeCun’s ‘world model’ startup Yann LeCun's new venture, AMI Labs, has drawn intense attention since the AI scientist left Meta to found it. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sat. Jan 24, 2026 | ||
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