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| The semiconductor sector is experiencing significant growth, driven primarily by the boom in artificial intelligence and substantial investments from major companies like Nvidia, TSMC, and Intel. This industry's performance is underpinned by increasing chip demand and advancements in technology, which are leading to robust stock values and competitive market dynamics. However, ongoing issues related to tariffs and trade policies continue to cast a shadow over the sector, indicating potential volatility in the near future. The price action of Semiconductors (SOXX) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.8 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.SOXX is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for Semiconductors sector is at 1.5, and the negative at -1 on 2026-01-20. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.6), Valuation Sentiment (3.3), and Sector Price Trend (1.8) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), Broad Market Trend (-1.2), Option Sentiment (-1.5), and Market Risk Appetite (-2.7) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on SOXX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| SOXX | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-20 | 4%(5.9%) | 337.35 | 83 | -1.5% | 0.58% | 1.8 | -0.09% | 0.7% | 0.5 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-19 | 5%(6.3%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.3 | 3.5 | 4.1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 6%(6%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.4 | 3.6 | 5.1 | |||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 4%(5.6%) | 2.6 | 0.21% | 2.3 | 3.4 | 1.8 | |||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 6%(5.4%) | 342.47 | 95 | 1.56% | 0.89% | 2.6 | 0.21% | 1.4% | 2 | Long | 60% | 3.5 | 4.8 |
| 2026-01-15 | 10%(5.3%) | 337.22 | 90 | 1.58% | 1.11% | 2.8 | 0.03% | 1.7% | 1.8 | Long | 55% | 3.2 | 5.5 |
| 2026-01-14 | 6%(4.7%) | 331.96 | 86 | -0.4% | 0.84% | 1.9 | 0% | 0.6% | 1.9 | Long | 65% | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 2026-01-13 | 7%(4.7%) | 333.3 | 93 | 0.89% | 0.88% | 1.8 | 0.06% | 0.6% | 1.4 | Long | 55% | 3.2 | 5.1 |
| 2026-01-12 | 3%(5.3%) | 330.35 | 94 | 0.48% | 0.76% | 3 | 0.18% | 1.3% | 1.1 | Long | 55% | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| 2026-01-11 | 3%(5.7%) | 1.6 | 0.06% | 1.9 | 3.6 | 6.4 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● Semiconductors Surge as AI Optimism Peaks — But Are Valuations Running Ahead of Reality? Tue. Jan 13, 2026 | ||
| ● AI Euphoria Meets Reality: Semiconductors Rally as Headlines Surge on CES Breakthroughs Mon. Jan 5, 2026 | ||
| ● Semiconductors Stall as AI Euphoria Surges: Calm Before the Next Breakout? Fri. Dec 26, 2025 | ||
| ● AI Data Center Buildout: The Life Cycle, Typical Timelines, and Who Outperforms Next Sun. Dec 21, 2025 | ||
| ● Semiconductors on 2025-12-17: Bullish Headlines, Bearish Tape — Who’s Telling the Truth? Wed. Dec 17, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-20 17:50:03 The semiconductor industry is heavily referenced, with mentions of notable companies like AMD and Intel leading discussions. |
| 2026-01-20 15:48:49 Mentioned in connection with industry growth and investment strategies. |
| 2026-01-20 15:48:49 Highly represented with multiple articles discussing momentum and stock performance. |
| 2026-01-20 13:49:22 Multiple mentions of tech stocks highlight ongoing confidence due to AI trends. |
| 2026-01-20 11:49:33 High representation due to multiple mentions of semiconductor companies in relation to AI chip demand. |
| 2026-01-20 09:37:23 AI is impacting various sectors, including supply chains and semiconductor manufacturing. |
| 2026-01-20 09:37:23 Both TSMC and Nvidia are heavily involved in expanding semiconductor capabilities. |
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