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The Progressive Corporation (PGR) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Jan 1, 2026

The price action of The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for PGR since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.2, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-01. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.2), Stock Price Trend (-0.1), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.5), and Market Risk Appetite (0.9) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


Earning Release: 2026-01-28 06:30, EPS: $18.33, P/E: 12.43

PGR
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-010%(0%)    -0.1    0%    0.2          0.5    -1   
2025-12-310%(0%)      227.78 50    -0.96%    -0.18%    -0.1    0%    0.3%    0.7    Long    70%    1.6    -1   
2025-12-300%(0%)      230 66    0.66%    -0.26%    0.5    0.04%    0.4%    0.6    Long    65%    2.3    -1   
2025-12-290%(0%)      228.5 56    0.61%    -0.26%    0.6    0%    0.2%    0.3    Long    65%    1.7    -1   
2025-12-280%(0%)    0.4    -0.04%    0.1          1.4    -1   
2025-12-270%(0%)    0.4    -0.04%    -0.2          0.1    -1   
2025-12-260%(0%)      227.11 46    -0.24%    -0.17%    0.4    -0.04%    0.2%    0.2    Wait    50%    0.8    -1   
2025-12-250%(0%)    0.1    0%    0.3          0.7    -1   
2025-12-240%(0%)      227.66 49    -0.11%    0.22%    0.1    0%    0.2%    0.7    Long    65%    0.9    -1   
2025-12-230%(0%)      227.9 51    0.23%    0.09%    -0.1    0.04%    0.5%    0.5    Wait    50%    0.6    -1   
 
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-01 17:04:47 The filing with the SEC implies that regulatory dimensions may play a role in shaping investment strategies for companies like The Progressive Corporation.
2026-01-01 17:04:47 The actions of institutional investors may reflect broader market trends influencing The Progressive Corporation's position in the insurance industry.
2026-01-01 17:04:47 The reduction of stock by Calamos Advisors indicates potential negative sentiment regarding the company's earnings outlook.
2026-01-01 17:04:47 The strategic decisions made by Calamos Advisors LLC regarding their equity interest in The Progressive Corporation highlight trends in investment management.
2026-01-01 17:04:47 The article discusses a decrease in stock holdings by an institutional investor, reflecting concerns over stock performance.


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