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| The price action of The Progressive Corporation (PGR) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at -0.9 is bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.PGR is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.3, and the negative at -1.2 on 2025-12-05. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-5.2), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1.5), Market Risk Appetite (-0.3), and Stock Price Trend (-0.2) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Sector Price Trend (0.8), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| PGR | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-05 | 0%(0%) | 222.85 | 36 | -1.87% | -0.13% | -0.2 | -0.09% | 0.8% | -0.9 | Long | 70% | -1.5 | -1 |
| 2025-12-04 | 0%(0%) | 227.11 | 66 | -0.02% | 0.18% | -0.3 | -0.08% | 0.4% | -0.4 | Short | 65% | -1 | -1 |
| 2025-12-03 | 0%(0%) | 227.14 | 68 | -0.69% | 0.09% | 0.4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | -0.3 | Long | 65% | -0.3 | -1 |
| 2025-12-02 | 0%(0%) | 228.72 | 75 | 0.39% | 0.18% | 0.6 | 0.15% | 0.4% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | 0.4 | -1 |
| 2025-12-01 | 0%(0%) | 227.84 | 73 | -0.42% | 0.13% | 0.6 | 0.15% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Long | 65% | 0.7 | -1 |
| 2025-11-30 | 0%(0%) | 1 | 0.25% | 0.7 | 1.4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-11-29 | 0%(0%) | 1 | 0.25% | 0.7 | 1.3 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-11-28 | 0%(0%) | 228.79 | 78 | -0.16% | 0.22% | 0.6 | 0.15% | 0.5% | 0.8 | Long | 65% | 1.3 | -1 |
| 2025-11-27 | 0%(0%) | 1 | 0.25% | 1.5 | 2.3 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-11-26 | 0%(0%) | 229.16 | 82 | 1.26% | 0.31% | 1.1 | 0.28% | 0.5% | 1.3 | Long | 75% | 2.1 | -1 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. The rebound is expected after the huge price drop today. The trend sentiment and hourly trend are not too bearish. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| 2025-12-05 17:07:16 The stock movement might reflect broader market trends affecting the insurance industry. |
| 2025-12-05 17:07:16 The decline in stock price could indicate negative investor sentiment regarding future prospects for Progressive Corporation. |
| 2025-12-05 17:07:16 The stock drop could suggest increased competition pressures within the auto insurance industry. |
| 2025-12-05 17:07:16 The drop in stock value may reflect concerns over the company's earnings potential or past performance. |
| 2025-12-05 17:07:16 The article highlights a decline in the stock price of The Progressive Corporation, indicating potential negative sentiment regarding its performance. |