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NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Feb 20, 2026

One Week Return: 3.85%, One Month Return: 6.6%, Three Month Return: 5.08%

Sector: Semiconductors

The market is witnessing significant advancements in AI chip technology, as highlighted by Nvidia's focus on emerging aviation technologies and AI development. Strategic shifts within companies towards AI are driving innovation and increasing demand for semiconductor products, thus promising positive growth. However, evolving business strategies may create uncertainty as firms navigate their relationships with AI-focused entities. Overall, Nvidia's positioning in the AI sector suggests a strong potential for continued leadership in product and service development.

The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.2 on 2026-02-20. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.5), Stock Price Trend (1.5), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.3), and Market Risk Appetite (-0.8) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-02-25 02:00, EPS: $4.04, P/E: 46.99

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NVDA
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-02-201%(1.1%)      189.82 2.78%    67    1.02%    0.97% 1.5    0.3    0.5%    0.9    Long    65% 3.5    5.3   
2026-02-191%(1%)      187.9 2.77%    60    -0.04%    0.71% 0.6    0.2    0.7%    0.1    Long    55% 3    5.4   
2026-02-182%(0.9%)      187.98 2.78%    61    1.63%    0.44% 0.6    0    1.4%    0    Long    55% 3.1    1.3   
2026-02-171%(0.6%)      184.97 2.95%    49    1.2%    -0.05% -0.8    0.1    1.2%    -0    Wait    50% 3.5    3.9   
2026-02-160%(0.4%)    -0.8    0.1    -0.6          2.7    7.5   
2026-02-151%(0.6%)    -0.8    0.1    -0.7          2    6   
2026-02-142%(0.6%)    -0.8    0.1    -0.7          2    1.5   
2026-02-130%(0.4%)      182.78 2.98%    38    -2.23%    -0.43% -0.8    -0.6    1.8%    -0    Short    55% 2.8    0.5   
2026-02-120%(0.6%)      186.94 2.9%    57    -1.61%    -0.32% 1.4    -0.5    0.8%    0.5    Wait    50% 3.1    5.5   
2026-02-110%(0.6%)      190.01 2.86%    72    0.78%    -0.05% 1.8    -0.2    0.6%    0.1    Long    65% 2.5    2.3   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Analysis
NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025

2026-02-20 17:49:34 The investment in AI not only serves as a hedge against competition but also reinforces the demand for Nvidia's semiconductor products.
2026-02-20 17:49:34 The strategic investment by Nvidia is partly driven by the need to remain competitive against major players like Google in the AI technology space.
2026-02-20 17:49:34 Nvidia's commitment to investing in OpenAI demonstrates its strategy to hedge against competitors while boosting demand for its chip products.
2026-02-20 17:00:39 Nvidia's stock performance reflects optimism in its future growth, although there are concerns about potential post-earnings volatility.
2026-02-20 17:00:39 Nvidia's partnerships, particularly with companies like Meta, are seen as key to enhancing its AI capabilities and overall market value.
2026-02-20 17:00:39 There is a bullish expectation surrounding Nvidia's upcoming earnings report, with predictions of exceeding guidance due to growing demand.
2026-02-20 17:00:39 Nvidia is viewed as a dominant player in the AI hardware space, showcasing strong earnings and a robust ecosystem.
2026-02-20 17:00:39 Nvidia's significant investment in OpenAI highlights its commitment to AI innovation and strengthens its position in the tech industry.
2026-02-20 15:48:36 Investment in OpenAI is viewed as a way to stimulate continued demand for Nvidia's chips.
2026-02-20 15:48:36 Nvidia's motivation to invest in OpenAI as a response to competitive pressures from companies like Google.
2026-02-20 15:48:36 Nvidia's investment in OpenAI as a strategic move to secure its position in the competitive AI market.
2026-02-20 09:35:34 Nvidia's stock is positively impacted by news of the potential investment in OpenAI.
2026-02-20 09:35:34 Nvidia's entry into the CPU server market challenges established players like Intel and AMD.
2026-02-20 09:35:34 Nvidia and OpenAI's decision to abandon the larger $100 billion deal indicates shifting priorities and market conditions.
2026-02-20 09:35:34 Articles highlight Nvidia's significant $30 billion investment in OpenAI, which is seen as a strategic move.


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