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Sector: Semiconductors
| Nvidia is currently navigating a complex landscape in its product and service development endeavors, marked by strong investments in AI that signal a positive outlook for future innovations. However, there are significant concerns regarding the performance of its microchips and challenges related to product delays, which may affect partnerships and overall market confidence. Despite these obstacles, the commitment to ongoing development and the launch of new AI models may help bolster Nvidia’s reputation in the industry. The contrasting sentiments illustrate the balancing act Nvidia faces as it advances its technology while addressing performance criticisms. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.8 is bearish. The market sentiment at -0.9 is bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -1.5 on 2026-02-08. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-8.3), and Stock Price Trend (-0.8) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0), Sector Price Trend (0.6), Valuation Sentiment (1.6), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.6) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | 1%(1%) | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1.6 | 5.5 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-07 | 1%(1%) | -0.8 | -0.9 | 1.7 | 7.3 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-06 | 1%(1.3%) | 185.41 | 2.77% | 54 | 7.92% | -0.16% | -0.8 | 1.2 | 2.7% | -1.2 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 2026-02-05 | 0%(1.3%) | 171.81 | 2.99% | -12 | -1.37% | -0.7% | -3.5 | -0.8 | 1.4% | -1.8 | Short | 70% | 1.1 | -7 |
| 2026-02-04 | 1%(1.4%) | 174.19 | 2.47% | -16 | -3.4% | -0.48% | -2.6 | -0.8 | 2.8% | -1.3 | Short | 70% | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 2026-02-03 | 1%(1.4%) | 180.32 | 1.91% | 8 | -2.85% | 0.16% | -0.9 | -0.8 | 2.7% | -0.6 | Short | 55% | 1.6 | 3 |
| 2026-02-02 | 2%(1.3%) | 185.61 | 1.72% | 43 | -2.89% | -0.05% | -0.3 | -0.8 | 1.1% | -0.1 | Short | 55% | 1.9 | -1.4 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.7 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-31 | 3%(1.3%) | 0.7 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 3 | 3.4 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-30 | 1%(1%) | 191.13 | 1.69% | 84 | -0.72% | 0.21% | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.7% | 0.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-02-08 22:46:13 Analysts project a positive outlook for Nvidia over the next five years, indicating a belief in its ongoing success. |
| 2026-02-08 22:46:13 Nvidia is seen as a leading player in the market, with strong potential for continued leadership in the coming years. |
| 2026-02-08 17:00:22 Nvidia’s competitive moat is strengthened by its vertical integration and the dominance of its CUDA ecosystem, contributing to its strong performance. |
| 2026-02-08 17:00:22 Concerns regarding geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions are influencing investment strategies and risks related to technology sectors, particularly regarding competition from China. |
| 2026-02-08 17:00:22 The notable impact of AI on Nvidia's growth and market positioning is a central theme, as the company is a leading provider of GPUs for AI computing. |
| 2026-02-08 17:00:22 Several reports detail increased investments and share acquisitions in Nvidia, indicating institutional confidence in the company. |
| 2026-02-08 17:00:22 Articles highlight Nvidia's stock potential, suggesting it may rise significantly due to strong positioning in AI and historic stock rebounds. |
| 2026-02-08 09:31:52 There is a theme of evaluating whether Nvidia's growth trajectory has reached its peak, which relates to industry trends. |
| 2026-02-08 09:31:52 The article suggests that analysts may have insights on Nvidia's potential, advocating for cautious consideration before investing. |
| 2026-02-08 09:31:52 The article discusses the performance of Nvidia stock and raises questions about its future valuation based on its historical growth. |