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Sector: Semiconductors
| There are significant concerns regarding the performance of Nvidia's microchips, particularly in inference tasks, which presents challenges for product development and could lead to shifts in partnerships. However, the company remains committed to innovation, notably with the recent launch of new AI models powered by Blackwell chips. Furthermore, Nvidia's strong commitment to AI investment predicts a positive outlook for future developments in the field, despite facing potential product delays. Collectively, these elements shape an environment of mixed sentiments around product and service development. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.8 is bearish. The market sentiment at -1.2 is very bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -1.6 on 2026-02-06. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-8.3), Stock Price Trend (-0.8), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Sector Price Trend (0.6), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.3) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-06 | 1%(1.3%) | 185.41 | 2.77% | 54 | 7.92% | -0.16% | -0.8 | 1.2 | 2.7% | -1.2 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.1 |
| 2026-02-05 | 0%(1.3%) | 171.81 | 2.99% | -12 | -1.37% | -0.7% | -3.5 | -0.8 | 1.4% | -1.8 | Short | 70% | 1.1 | -7 |
| 2026-02-04 | 1%(1.4%) | 174.19 | 2.47% | -16 | -3.4% | -0.48% | -2.6 | -0.8 | 2.8% | -1.3 | Short | 70% | 1.5 | 0.9 |
| 2026-02-03 | 1%(1.4%) | 180.32 | 1.91% | 8 | -2.85% | 0.16% | -0.9 | -0.8 | 2.7% | -0.6 | Short | 55% | 1.6 | 3 |
| 2026-02-02 | 2%(1.3%) | 185.61 | 1.72% | 43 | -2.89% | -0.05% | -0.3 | -0.8 | 1.1% | -0.1 | Short | 55% | 1.9 | -1.4 |
| 2026-02-01 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.7 | -0.8 | 0.3 | 3.4 | 0.8 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-31 | 3%(1.3%) | 0.7 | -0.8 | 0.2 | 3 | 3.4 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-30 | 1%(1%) | 191.13 | 1.69% | 84 | -0.72% | 0.21% | 0.7 | -0.1 | 0.7% | 0.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.4 | 0.8 |
| 2026-01-29 | 1%(1%) | 192.51 | 1.59% | 99 | 0.52% | 0.54% | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.7% | 0.5 | Long | 70% | 3.3 | 4.5 |
| 2026-01-28 | 1%(1%) | 191.52 | 1.44% | 98 | 1.59% | 0.27% | 1.3 | 0.2 | 1% | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 3.3 | 5 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-02-06 17:00:31 The overall sentiment in the tech industry, marked by fluctuations in stock prices and investor confidence, as companies navigate concerns about potential AI market bubbles and economic conditions. |
| 2026-02-06 17:00:31 Nvidia's strong market position as a leading provider of AI chips and its sustainable growth strategy amidst rising competition from other tech giants. |
| 2026-02-06 17:00:31 Heavy investments by major tech companies into AI infrastructure, which are expected to bolster Nvidia's growth and enhance its competitive position within the sector. |
| 2026-02-06 17:00:31 Nvidia's stock has experienced volatility, showing significant gains as well as periods of decline, reflecting investors' reactions to broader market conditions and specific company announcements. |
| 2026-02-06 17:00:31 The increasing demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure and technology, with companies like Nvidia leading the charge in providing essential AI components. |
| 2026-02-06 15:48:20 The projected increase in spending by major companies on AI signifies a growing trend and demand for AI technology across various sectors. |
| 2026-02-06 15:48:20 The collaboration among major firms such as Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft highlights the interdependence in the tech industry regarding AI investments. |
| 2026-02-06 15:48:20 Nvidia's CEO reassures stakeholders that the current level of spending by customers, including on data centers, is sustainable, which indicates a stable outlook for the industry. |
| 2026-02-06 15:48:20 Nvidia's stock surge and the overall increase in market value indicate strong confidence among investors in the company's prospects related to AI. |
| 2026-02-06 15:48:20 The significant investment by major tech companies in AI tools reflects a strong confidence in the future of AI technology and growth prospects. |
| 2026-02-06 13:48:48 Nvidia's entry into the Chinese market faces regulatory scrutiny, which introduces potential challenges for its operations. |
| 2026-02-06 13:48:48 Nvidia's stock faced volatility with a past crash, reflecting concerns over market stability and future valuations. |
| 2026-02-06 13:48:48 The mention of competition from a Chinese startup that developed a comparable AI model indicates challenges facing Nvidia within the competitive environment. |
| 2026-02-06 13:48:48 Nvidia CEO's comments on high demand for AI development highlight a positive trend in the industry's growth potential. |
| 2026-02-06 13:48:48 The articles convey a positive sentiment surrounding the recent stock performance of Nvidia Corp., indicating strong gains and a rally in the market. |
| 2026-02-06 11:48:18 The recent fluctuations in Nvidia's stock performance indicate a volatile market, affected by broader trends and company-specific issues. |
| 2026-02-06 11:48:18 Nvidia's commitment to investing in CoreWeave highlights a growing trend of significant capital infusion in AI-related companies. |
| 2026-02-06 09:33:54 The competitive landscape in the semiconductor industry, highlighting gains across major players. |
| 2026-02-06 09:33:54 The optimistic earnings results and spending signals contributing to a rise in semiconductor stock values. |
| 2026-02-06 09:33:54 The positive influence of AI advancements driving growth in semiconductor stocks such as Nvidia, AMD, and others. |