NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight

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NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Feb 4, 2026

One Week Return: -9.05%, One Month Return: -7.76%, Three Month Return: -12.33%

The evolving landscape of AI technology is driving significant advancements in product development, particularly concerning memory needs and custom chips. Nvidia's strong commitment to AI investment and robust technical support highlights its role as a leader in innovation. However, challenges related to microchip performance and partner satisfaction show potential risks that could impact future growth. Overall, the market sentiments reflect a mix of optimism and caution regarding Nvidia's product and service development initiatives.
The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -2.6 is extremely bearish. The market sentiment at -1.3 is very bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -1.9 on 2026-02-04. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-7.6), Stock Price Trend (-2.6), and Sector Price Trend (-2.2) will drive down the price. The forces of Option Sentiment (0.5), Valuation Sentiment (0.8), Price Level Sentiment (1), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.5) will drive up the price.
The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

Earning Release: 2026-02-25 02:00, EPS: $4.05, P/E: 43.01

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NVDA
Date Attention Price StdDev Price
Level Change 10 Day
Trend Trend
Sentiment Hourly
Trend
Sentiment Hourly
StdDev Market
Sentiment Action P Fund. News
Sentiment
2026-02-04 1%(1.4%)      174.19 2.47%    -16    -3.4%    -0.48% -2.6    -0.8    2.8%    -1.3    Short    70% 1.5    0.9

2026-02-03 1%(1.4%)      180.32 1.91%    8    -2.85%    0.16% -0.9    -0.8    2.7%    -0.6    Short    55% 1.6    3

2026-02-02 2%(1.3%)      185.61 1.72%    43    -2.89%    -0.05% -0.3    -0.8    1.1%    -0.1    Short    55% 1.9    -1.4

2026-02-01 1%(1.3%)    0.7    -0.8    0.3          3.4    0.8

2026-01-31 3%(1.3%)    0.7    -0.8    0.2          3    3.4

2026-01-30 1%(1%)      191.13 1.69%    84    -0.72%    0.21% 0.7    -0.1    0.7%    0.2    Wait    50% 3.4    0.8

2026-01-29 1%(1%)      192.51 1.59%    99    0.52%    0.54% 1.5    0.6    0.7%    0.5    Long    70% 3.3    4.5

2026-01-28 1%(1%)      191.52 1.44%    98    1.59%    0.27% 1.3    0.2    1%    0.7    Wait    50% 3.3    5

2026-01-27 0%(1.1%)      188.52 1.33%    75    1.16%    0.22% 1.2    0.1    0.6%    0.7    Long    55% 3.6    0.5

2026-01-26 2%(1.3%)      186.36 1.42%    52    -0.7%    0.11% 0    -0.2    0.7%    0.2    Short    55% 2.7    5.1

Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak.
Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

NVDA
Date	Attention	Price	StdDev	Price Level	Change	10 Day Trend	Trend Sentiment	Hourly Trend Sentiment	Hourly StdDev	Market Sentiment	Action	P	Fund.	News Sentiment
2026-02-04	1%(1.4%)	174.19	2.47%	-16	-3.4%	-0.48%	-2.6	-0.8	2.8%	-1.3	Short	70%	1.5	0.9
2026-02-03	1%(1.4%)	180.32	1.91%	8	-2.85%	0.16%	-0.9	-0.8	2.7%	-0.6	Short	55%	1.6	3
2026-02-02	2%(1.3%)	185.61	1.72%	43	-2.89%	-0.05%	-0.3	-0.8	1.1%	-0.1	Short	55%	1.9	-1.4
2026-02-01	1%(1.3%)						0.7	-0.8		0.3			3.4	0.8
2026-01-31	3%(1.3%)						0.7	-0.8		0.2			3	3.4
2026-01-30	1%(1%)	191.13	1.69%	84	-0.72%	0.21%	0.7	-0.1	0.7%	0.2	Wait	50%	3.4	0.8
2026-01-29	1%(1%)	192.51	1.59%	99	0.52%	0.54%	1.5	0.6	0.7%	0.5	Long	70%	3.3	4.5
2026-01-28	1%(1%)	191.52	1.44%	98	1.59%	0.27%	1.3	0.2	1%	0.7	Wait	50%	3.3	5
2026-01-27	0%(1.1%)	188.52	1.33%	75	1.16%	0.22%	1.2	0.1	0.6%	0.7	Long	55%	3.6	0.5
2026-01-26	2%(1.3%)	186.36	1.42%	52	-0.7%	0.11%	0	-0.2	0.7%	0.2	Short	55%	2.7	5.1

Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.
Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

Analysis
● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025

2026-02-04 17:00:36 The evolving partnership between Nvidia and OpenAI is central to both companies' success in the AI industry, despite recent reports of stalled negotiations.

2026-02-04 17:00:36 Nvidia faces increasing competition from other chipmakers, which is influencing its market strategies and investment decisions.

2026-02-04 17:00:36 Regulatory hurdles related to AI technology and exports, especially to China, are causing concern among investors and impacting Nvidia's operations.

2026-02-04 17:00:36 Fluctuations in Nvidia's stock price are often influenced by market reactions to news regarding its partnerships and regulatory issues.

2026-02-04 17:00:36 Nvidia's ongoing investments in companies like OpenAI and AI startups signal its commitment to expanding its influence in the AI sector.

2026-02-04 15:48:11 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's comments reflect strong leadership confidence in the company's position amidst market volatility.

2026-02-04 15:48:11 The potential disruptions caused by artificial intelligence are driving changes in the industry, highlighting both opportunities and challenges for companies.

2026-02-04 15:48:11 The recent sell-off in software company stocks amid concerns about AI disruption indicates negative market reactions and uncertainty.

2026-02-04 13:49:05 Statements from Nvidia's CEO expressing confidence in AI's role rather than fearing it as a replacement for software.

2026-02-04 13:49:05 The sell-off of software stocks in response to AI advancements, highlighting volatility in tech market sentiments.

2026-02-04 13:49:05 The fear that artificial intelligence will disrupt and replace existing software solutions, leading to significant impacts on the tech industry.

2026-02-04 11:48:24 The competitive landscape is shifting with reactions from rivals like Advanced Micro Devices affecting Nvidia's stock outlook.

2026-02-04 11:48:24 Nvidia's stock has experienced volatility due to external market influences, including competition and earnings reports.

2026-02-04 11:48:24 The growing importance of AI technology is significantly affecting stock performance and investor sentiment, especially for companies like Nvidia.

2026-02-04 09:34:49 The AI sector, particularly related to Nvidia, is experiencing downturns, showcasing volatility and uncertainty in stock performance.

2026-02-04 09:34:49 Nvidia's stock is responding negatively to market conditions influenced by competitors, reflecting broader investor concerns.

2026-02-04 09:34:49 The relationship between Nvidia and OpenAI appears stable, with Nvidia's leadership affirming no issues, indicating a positive collaboration.