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Sector: Semiconductors
| Recent advancements in product development, particularly in the autonomous vehicle sector, have positioned the company favorably in a competitive landscape. The introduction of new tools for the autonomous vehicle ecosystem demonstrates a strong commitment to innovation. Additionally, the transition to next-generation manufacturing processes by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing enhances overall technological capabilities. However, ongoing projects like Tesla's Dojo3 supercomputer also indicate potential reliance on collaborative innovations. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.6 on 2026-01-25. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.5), Sector Price Trend (1.7), Stock Price Trend (0.2), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.9), and Market Risk Appetite (-2.4) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | 1%(1.1%) | 0.2 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | |||||||||
| 2026-01-24 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.2 | 0 | 2.4 | 4 | |||||||||
| 2026-01-23 | 1%(1.4%) | 187.68 | 1.44% | 63 | 1.6% | 0.11% | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.1% | 0.1 | Long | 55% | 2.2 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-22 | 1%(1.4%) | 184.73 | 1.49% | 36 | 0.85% | -0.22% | 0 | 0.1 | 1.4% | 0.2 | Long | 55% | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2%(1.4%) | 183.18 | 1.53% | 22 | 2.87% | -0.22% | -0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 2026-01-20 | 1%(1.3%) | 178.07 | 1.66% | -19 | -4.32% | -0.54% | -1.2 | -1.1 | 2.4% | 0 | Wait | 50% | 0.4 | -4 |
| 2026-01-19 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.8 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 2%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.11 | 1.91% | 51 | -0.47% | -0.16% | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.2% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 1.7 | 1 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-25 22:47:17 Samsung's plans to supply HBM4 chips to Nvidia underscores a significant partnership that could benefit both companies in the AI sector. |
| 2026-01-25 22:47:17 Supply delays have posed challenges for Samsung's operations, affecting its overall efficiency and market competitiveness. |
| 2026-01-25 22:47:17 Supply delays have previously affected Samsung's earnings and stock prices, highlighting the financial implications of production issues. |
| 2026-01-25 22:47:17 Samsung is in direct competition with SK Hynix for the supply of advanced memory chips, which may impact its market position. |
| 2026-01-25 22:47:17 Samsung Electronics is initiating the production of next-generation HBM4 chips, signaling innovation and advancement in technology. |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:35 China's willingness to approve Nvidia's H200 chips could open new market opportunities, though there are uncertainties regarding regulations. |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:35 Recent stock transactions by executives and financial advisors reflect strategic changes and market responses to Nvidia's stock. |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:35 Billionaire investors are showing interest in Nvidia, indicating confidence in its future performance and stock value. |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:35 Despite competition, Nvidia remains the preferred AI chip supplier for many software companies, indicating a strong market position. |
| 2026-01-25 17:00:35 Nvidia faces increasing competition from companies like AMD and Qualcomm in the AI chip sector, impacting its market dominance. |
| 2026-01-25 13:47:10 A warning from the CEO to Wall Street suggesting a need for cautious optimism regarding the AI boom. |
| 2026-01-25 13:47:10 Insights shared by Nvidia's CEO regarding the AI boom, indicating strong leadership and influence in the tech sector. |
| 2026-01-25 13:47:10 The ongoing expansion and significance of the AI industry as highlighted by discussions on its impact on Wall Street. |