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Sector: Semiconductors
| Nvidia's focus on product development and innovation is bolstered by its aggressive release strategy, positioning the company for future growth amidst market fluctuations. The introduction of Blackwell as part of their strategy underscores their commitment to maintaining competitive market dynamics. These efforts reflect an overall positive outlook for Nvidia's ability to adapt and thrive in a fast-evolving technology landscape. However, the challenges posed by existing market competition may affect the pace and impact of these developments. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-01-22. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-2.3), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.6) will drive down the price. The forces of Stock Price Trend (0), Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.1), and Sector Price Trend (2.4) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-22 | 1%(1.4%) | 184.73 | 1.49% | 36 | 0.85% | -0.22% | 0 | 0.1 | 1.4% | 0.2 | Long | 55% | 2.1 | 1.7 |
| 2026-01-21 | 2%(1.4%) | 183.18 | 1.53% | 22 | 2.87% | -0.22% | -0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 2026-01-20 | 1%(1.3%) | 178.07 | 1.66% | -19 | -4.32% | -0.54% | -1.2 | -1.1 | 2.4% | 0 | Wait | 50% | 0.4 | -4 |
| 2026-01-19 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.8 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 2%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.11 | 1.91% | 51 | -0.47% | -0.16% | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.2% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 1.7 | 1 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.99 | 2.59% | 59 | 2.1% | 0% | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4% | 1 | Long | 55% | 2 | 2.9 |
| 2026-01-14 | 1%(1.4%) | 183.14 | 2.78% | 42 | -1.44% | -0.21% | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.9% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 2.3 | -0.6 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 2.92% | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | -0 | 0.1 | 0.4% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-22 17:00:37 There's a narrative regarding the perceived undervaluation of Nvidia stocks in light of its strong growth potential and market performance. |
| 2026-01-22 17:00:37 Articles discuss the geopolitical tensions affecting Nvidia's operations, particularly regarding chip exports to China and regulatory responses. |
| 2026-01-22 17:00:37 The discussions surrounding AI technology also address how it affects job markets, emphasizing the creation of new roles despite fears of job losses. |
| 2026-01-22 17:00:37 Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market and its capacity for innovation position it favorably against competitors. |
| 2026-01-22 17:00:37 Articles highlight the significant growth potential and investment in the artificial intelligence sector, particularly focusing on companies like Nvidia. |
| 2026-01-22 11:49:40 As other companies in the AI sector are performing well, Nvidia faces stiff competition and challenges to maintain its previous market dominance. |
| 2026-01-22 11:49:40 The growth of the AI industry is robust, but Nvidia's current market position suggests it may not be capitalizing on this trend as effectively as others. |
| 2026-01-22 11:49:40 Nvidia's stock has been lagging, hovering near previous levels while competitors thrive, indicating potential concerns about its future performance. |
| 2026-01-22 09:36:21 The loyalty of retail investors towards Nvidia and insights into investment trends highlight the sentiment and dynamics within retail investor communities. |
| 2026-01-22 09:36:21 The discussions around Trump's permissions for Nvidia to sell AI chips to China underline the regulatory challenges and political implications the company faces. |
| 2026-01-22 09:36:21 Jensen Huang's role as a visionary leader in navigating the company's strategy in the AI space is emphasized, particularly during events like Davos. |
| 2026-01-22 09:36:21 Nvidia's stock performance is a recurring topic, with commentary on its current valuation and comparison to other companies in the AI market. |
| 2026-01-22 09:36:21 The articles discuss the strong growth in the AI and semiconductor sectors, highlighting investor enthusiasm and the potential for increased demand for AI technologies and related products. |