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Sector: Semiconductors
| Nvidia is currently navigating a landscape shaped by fluctuating demand for its H200 chips, particularly from Chinese buyers, which poses questions about the future of this demand. The company is also focusing on innovation within its product development pipeline, emphasizing the ramping of its Blackwell series to enhance market competitiveness. These efforts, alongside a robust product release strategy, signal Nvidia's commitment to seizing growth opportunities amidst challenges. However, the sustainability of current demand remains uncertain, potentially impacting future performance. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.3 on 2026-01-21. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.8), Stock Price Trend (-0.4), and Valuation Sentiment (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Option Sentiment (0.5), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.9), and Sector Price Trend (2.3) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-21 | 2%(1.4%) | 183.18 | 1.53% | 22 | 2.87% | -0.22% | -0.4 | 0.2 | 1.6% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 1.9 | 5.3 |
| 2026-01-20 | 1%(1.3%) | 178.07 | 1.66% | -19 | -4.32% | -0.54% | -1.2 | -1.1 | 2.4% | 0 | Wait | 50% | 0.4 | -4 |
| 2026-01-19 | 1%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 4.8 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-18 | 2%(1.3%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-17 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.4 | -1.1 | 1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.11 | 1.91% | 51 | -0.47% | -0.16% | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.2% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 1.7 | 1 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.99 | 2.59% | 59 | 2.1% | 0% | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4% | 1 | Long | 55% | 2 | 2.9 |
| 2026-01-14 | 1%(1.4%) | 183.14 | 2.78% | 42 | -1.44% | -0.21% | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.9% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 2.3 | -0.6 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 2.92% | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | -0 | 0.1 | 0.4% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 3.12% | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | -0.6 | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6 | Short | 55% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-21 22:47:51 The tension between AI companies regarding hardware partnerships signifies underlying conflicts that could impact collaboration and competition in the industry. |
| 2026-01-21 22:47:51 The discussion highlights the significant investments in AI technology and the potential for job creation, suggesting a positive outlook on AI's impact on the workforce. |
| 2026-01-21 17:50:01 The discussions at the World Economic Forum indicate a strong market confidence in AI investments, dismissing concerns about a potential bubble. |
| 2026-01-21 17:50:01 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is positioned as a leader advocating for continued investment in AI, which is portrayed as essential for future growth. |
| 2026-01-21 17:50:01 The articles reflect confidence in the potential of AI to drive job creation, countering fears of job loss associated with automation. |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:37 Concerns regarding supply chain dynamics and geopolitical tensions are impacting the chip market, affecting Nvidia's operations and market access. |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:37 Increased investments by Nvidia in AI startups indicate a strong commitment to advancing technology and competitive positioning. |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:37 Nvidia's leadership, particularly CEO Jensen Huang, is a driving force in AI innovation, highlighting a strong vision for future developments. |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:37 Nvidia's stock performance has been volatile but generally aligns with positive investor sentiment, reflecting its growth in the AI sector. |
| 2026-01-21 17:00:37 There is a significant emphasis on the expanding market for artificial intelligence, with predictions of rapid growth and major investment opportunities. |
| 2026-01-21 15:49:40 Comments from CEOs of major tech companies reflect a positive outlook on the growth of AI and the need for substantial investments. |
| 2026-01-21 15:49:40 The significant gains in stocks like NVIDIA and Amgen contributed positively to the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. |
| 2026-01-21 15:49:40 The articles highlight a growing demand for AI infrastructure, as mentioned by industry leaders during events such as the World Economic Forum. |
| 2026-01-21 13:49:45 Analysts are optimistic about the performance of semiconductor companies due to trends in AI, suggesting strong future performance. |
| 2026-01-21 13:49:45 AI-driven demand for semiconductors is expected to keep stocks like Nvidia and others strong, reflecting positive cyclical trends in the industry. |
| 2026-01-21 13:49:45 The increasing demand for AI technology is significantly benefiting companies like Nvidia, indicating strong growth potential in the sector. |
| 2026-01-21 11:50:03 Nvidia's investment in AI start-ups indicates a strategic shift in the market towards AI technologies. |
| 2026-01-21 11:50:03 The urgent need for significant investment in AI infrastructure to meet growing demand. |
| 2026-01-21 09:37:24 Nvidia's strategic investment in AI start-up Baseten signifies a shift in the market and a commitment to advancing AI technology. |
| 2026-01-21 09:37:24 The belief that AI will create jobs rather than eliminate them, as articulated by CEO Jensen Huang. |
| 2026-01-21 09:37:24 Nvidia's efforts to expand into China indicate a strong focus on tapping into new markets for growth. |