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Sector: Semiconductors
| Nvidia is at the forefront of integrating AI into various applications, particularly in drug discovery through partnerships that promise to revolutionize pharmaceutical advancements. The company's innovations, especially in chip technology, aim to reduce costs and expand potential applications, highlighting their aggressive product development strategy. However, the product development cycle faces challenges, and there are concerns regarding the sustainability of demand for their H200 chips, particularly from international markets. Overall, Nvidia's commitment to innovation remains strong despite these uncertainties. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 1 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at 0 on 2026-01-17. The forces of Sector Price Trend (2.6), Market Risk Appetite (2.3), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.5), Stock Price Trend (0.4), Valuation Sentiment (0.3), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.4 | 1 | 1.5 | -1.6 | |||||||||
| 2026-01-16 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.11 | 1.91% | 51 | -0.47% | -0.16% | 0.4 | -0.2 | 1.2% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 1.7 | 1 |
| 2026-01-15 | 1%(1.3%) | 186.99 | 2.59% | 59 | 2.1% | 0% | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.4% | 1 | Long | 55% | 2 | 2.9 |
| 2026-01-14 | 1%(1.4%) | 183.14 | 2.78% | 42 | -1.44% | -0.21% | -0.7 | -0.1 | 0.9% | 1.2 | Short | 55% | 2.3 | -0.6 |
| 2026-01-13 | 1%(1.4%) | 185.81 | 2.92% | 57 | 0.5% | -0.11% | -0 | 0.1 | 0.4% | 0.8 | Long | 55% | 2.9 | 2.6 |
| 2026-01-12 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.89 | 3.12% | 54 | 0.04% | -0.32% | -0.6 | 0 | 0.4% | 0.6 | Short | 55% | 3.5 | 4.6 |
| 2026-01-11 | 1%(2%) | -0.5 | 0 | 0.8 | 3.4 | 5.7 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-10 | 3%(2%) | -0.5 | 0 | 0.7 | 3.4 | 4.3 | ||||||||
| 2026-01-09 | 1%(1.9%) | 184.83 | 3.14% | 55 | -0.09% | -0.21% | -0.5 | -0.2 | 1% | 0.8 | Short | 55% | 3.5 | 4.2 |
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 3.13% | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.4 | -0.4 | 1.1% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-17 17:00:38 While Nvidia's stock has shown variability, projections suggest potential for future growth, influenced by advancements in AI and overall market conditions. |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:38 Collaborations, such as the one between Eli Lilly and Nvidia, highlight the growing reliance on partnerships to drive innovations in AI technologies, enhancing capabilities and market reach. |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:38 Nvidia continues to solidify its status as a dominant player in the AI chip market, benefiting from both market trends and its innovative product offerings, which pose challenges for rival companies. |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:38 The launch of new AI-driven products and platforms, such as Nvidia's Vera Rubin AI platform, suggests strong growth potential in the AI market, correlating with investor optimism about future profitability. |
| 2026-01-17 17:00:38 Recent reports indicate significant interruptions in the supply chain for Nvidia's chip production, particularly due to China's customs blocking shipments, affecting production schedules and market availability. |
| 2026-01-17 09:33:53 The articles suggest that investors are optimistic about Nvidia, with the potential for strong growth as a leading AI chipmaker. |
| 2026-01-17 09:33:53 Nvidia's position in the market is bolstered by its advancements in AI chip technology, presenting a competitive edge over rivals. |
| 2026-01-17 09:33:53 There is a growing sentiment around Nvidia's prospects in the AI industry, indicating strong market opportunities and interest from investors. |
| 2026-01-17 09:33:53 The articles highlight significant disruptions in the supply chain for Nvidia's H200 chip due to Chinese customs blocking shipments, causing suppliers to halt production. |