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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.3 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-08. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.4), and Stock Price Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0), Option Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Sector Price Trend (1.2), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.4) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-08 | 2%(2%) | 185 | 56 | -2.21% | -0.21% | -0.3 | -0.16% | 1.1% | 0.8 | Wait | 50% | 3.4 | 1.8 |
| 2026-01-07 | 1%(1.7%) | 189.18 | 74 | 1.01% | 0.32% | 0.4 | 0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 3.6 | 3.3 |
| 2026-01-06 | 4%(2%) | 187.28 | 67 | -0.45% | 0.32% | -0.4 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.3 | 3.1 |
| 2026-01-05 | 2%(1.7%) | 188.12 | 72 | -0.39% | 0.75% | 0.9 | -0.05% | 0.7% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 3.2 | 6.4 |
| 2026-01-04 | 1%(1.9%) | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 2%(2%) | 1.3 | 0% | 0.8 | 3 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 2%(2.1%) | 188.85 | 77 | 1.26% | 0.98% | 1.3 | 0% | 0.6% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0%(2.4%) | 0.1 | -0.05% | 0.8 | 3.4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 3%(2.9%) | 186.5 | 69 | -0.55% | 0.44% | 0.1 | -0.05% | 0.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2%(2.9%) | 187.54 | 75 | -0.36% | 0.66% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-08 17:47:55 The uncertainty around Nvidia's stock due to China's chip sales highlights competitive pressures and potential regulatory impacts. |
| 2026-01-08 17:47:55 The expectation of stronger returns from Nvidia in 2026 indicates a positive outlook for investors. |
| 2026-01-08 17:00:37 Articles often highlight fluctuations in Nvidia's stock price as markets face profit-taking and demand risks, reflecting investor caution. |
| 2026-01-08 17:00:37 The focus on new AI products and innovations showcased by Nvidia and partners at industry events indicates strong ongoing product development. |
| 2026-01-08 17:00:37 Despite market volatility, there is a prevailing optimism among investors about the potential of AI stocks, particularly Nvidia, to deliver solid returns. |
| 2026-01-08 17:00:37 Many articles discuss the geopolitical issues surrounding Nvidia's operations in China, highlighting challenges and uncertainties in securing sales. |
| 2026-01-08 17:00:37 The articles reflect a strong belief in the growth of AI and semiconductor industries, with Nvidia positioned as a market leader benefiting from this trend. |
| 2026-01-08 15:49:14 Despite positive news, the actual stock value of Nvidia has not matched the company's growth potential, leading to concerns. |
| 2026-01-08 15:49:14 Nvidia's stock performance is affected by regulatory developments in China, specifically relating to chip imports. |
| 2026-01-08 15:49:14 Recent advancements and projects by Nvidia are seen as positive indicators boosting investor confidence despite some stock performance fluctuations. |
| 2026-01-08 15:49:14 Nvidia's ongoing development of AI platforms like Vera Rubin and Alpamayo reflects its commitment to innovation in the tech industry. |
| 2026-01-08 13:49:26 The approval process for chip imports from China presents regulatory challenges that may significantly affect Nvidia's operations and sales. |
| 2026-01-08 13:49:26 Nvidia's stock performance is influenced by the uncertainty surrounding chip sales in China, reflecting investor concerns over potential revenue impacts. |
| 2026-01-08 13:49:26 The articles highlight concerns about Nvidia's sales prospects in China, indicated by the requirement for upfront payments and regulatory uncertainties affecting chip imports. |
| 2026-01-08 11:49:40 Market reactions to news about Nvidia’s sales prospects in China indicate investor sentiment and can influence stock performance. |
| 2026-01-08 11:49:40 The reversal of previous regulations under the Trump administration to allow Nvidia to sell chips to China exemplifies how regulatory changes can significantly affect business operations. |
| 2026-01-08 11:49:40 The expected approval for Nvidia's H200 AI chips by Chinese officials highlights the potential positive impact on Nvidia's product sales in the Chinese market. |
| 2026-01-08 09:35:49 Nvidia's strategic initiatives strengthen its competitive advantages in the rapidly evolving AI chip market. |
| 2026-01-08 09:35:49 Nvidia's change to requiring full upfront payments from Chinese customers reflects supply chain sensitivities and economic uncertainties. |
| 2026-01-08 09:35:49 Nvidia's advancements in AI chip technology highlight its role as a leader in product development within the AI sector. |
| 2026-01-08 09:35:49 China's regulatory stance on Nvidia's chip sales significantly influences the company's market access and operations. |
| 2026-01-08 09:35:49 Nvidia's stock performance is positively impacted by developments in its chip sales and market strategies, particularly in China. |