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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.3 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.8 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.9, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-04. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.1), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Stock Price Trend (1.3), Market Risk Appetite (0.4), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Valuation Sentiment (-0.8) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | 1%(1.9%) | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.8 | 3.1 | 6 | |||||||
| 2026-01-03 | 2%(2%) | 1.3 | 0% | 0.8 | 3 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2026-01-02 | 2%(2.1%) | 188.85 | 77 | 1.26% | 0.98% | 1.3 | 0% | 0.6% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.1 | 2.8 |
| 2026-01-01 | 0%(2.4%) | 0.1 | -0.05% | 0.8 | 3.4 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-31 | 3%(2.9%) | 186.5 | 69 | -0.55% | 0.44% | 0.1 | -0.05% | 0.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2%(2.9%) | 187.54 | 75 | -0.36% | 0.66% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 2025-12-29 | 3%(2.6%) | 188.22 | 81 | -1.21% | 0.72% | 1 | 0% | 0.9% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 3%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1 | 3.9 | 3.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(2%) | 190.53 | 96 | 1.02% | 0.56% | 1.5 | 0.05% | 0.8% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2026-01-04 22:46:50 The booming demand for AI technology in markets, especially from China, is positively impacting Nvidia's valuation and relevance in the tech industry. |
| 2026-01-04 22:46:50 Increasing demand for chips is causing strain on TSMC's manufacturing capacity, highlighting significant supply chain pressures in the semiconductor industry. |
| 2026-01-04 22:46:50 Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's visit to announce the new Taipei headquarters reflects the company’s strategic expansion amid growing AI demand. |
| 2026-01-04 17:00:36 Concerns about supply chain constraints impacting Nvidia's ability to meet demand and innovate, reflecting potential short-term challenges. |
| 2026-01-04 17:00:36 Nvidia faces competition from other tech giants like AMD and Google, which is expected to influence market dynamics and investor sentiment. |
| 2026-01-04 17:00:36 The articles highlight growing interest and investment in AI-related stocks, indicating a trend where investors focus on companies like Nvidia. |
| 2026-01-04 17:00:36 Multiple articles discuss predictions on Nvidia's stock performance, reflecting a positive outlook despite short-term fluctuations. |
| 2026-01-04 17:00:36 Nvidia is recognized for its dominant position in the AI chip market, suggesting its products are widely trusted and have competitive advantages over rivals. |