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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 1 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0 on 2025-12-31. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (3.7), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Valuation Sentiment (0.8), Option Sentiment (0.5), Stock Price Trend (0.1), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Sector Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | 3%(2.9%) | 186.5 | 69 | -0.55% | 0.44% | 0.1 | -0.05% | 0.4% | 1 | Wait | 50% | 3.7 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-30 | 2%(2.9%) | 187.54 | 75 | -0.36% | 0.66% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 2025-12-29 | 3%(2.6%) | 188.22 | 81 | -1.21% | 0.72% | 1 | 0% | 0.9% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 3%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1 | 3.9 | 3.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(2%) | 190.53 | 96 | 1.02% | 0.56% | 1.5 | 0.05% | 0.8% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| 2025-12-25 | 3%(1.7%) | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 3%(1.4%) | 188.61 | 92 | -0.32% | 0.22% | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.2% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0%(1.1%) | 189.22 | 103 | 3.06% | 0.28% | 1.2 | 0.27% | 1.6% | 0.9 | Short | 80% | 2 | -3 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2%(1.3%) | 183.6 | 74 | 1.44% | -0.11% | 0.7 | 0.28% | 1.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-31 22:46:53 The articles imply strategic investment decisions regarding Nvidia based on projected shifts and market conditions. |
| 2025-12-31 22:46:53 The discussions around the artificial intelligence boom and its implications for Nvidia indicate a strong focus on ongoing industry trends. |
| 2025-12-31 22:46:53 The articles discuss the future performance and valuation of Nvidia stock, reflecting on its current standing and potential growth. |
| 2025-12-31 17:48:56 The partnership between NVIDIA and Intel aims to enhance supply chain capacities, reflecting a proactive approach to securing essential resources within the industry. |
| 2025-12-31 17:48:56 NVIDIA's collaboration with Intel signifies strategic alliances in the semiconductor industry, focusing on stability and growth, which is perceived positively. |
| 2025-12-31 17:48:56 The articles highlight NVIDIA's strong position in AI technology and its aspirations for future growth, indicating a positive sentiment around its leadership in the AI sector. |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:39 The significant capital investments from companies like ByteDance in AI technology signal a bullish outlook on the future of AI and its related markets. |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:39 Regulatory concerns surrounding semiconductor exports and the capacity constraints in strategic markets like China are creating significant impacts on Nvidia’s operations. |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:39 Challenges related to meeting the high demand for Nvidia's H200 AI chips, especially from Chinese tech firms, highlight the complexities within the supply chain. |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:39 Nvidia's strategic moves, including acquisitions and partnerships, reflect its efforts to maintain a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving AI chip market. |
| 2025-12-31 17:00:39 The rising need for AI infrastructure and chips, particularly from companies like Nvidia and ByteDance, indicates a strong industry trend towards AI market expansion. |
| 2025-12-31 15:47:46 Nvidia's engagement with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company to increase chip production underscores strategic partnerships in the supply chain. |
| 2025-12-31 15:47:46 Nvidia's stock has shown stability, with little movement in price despite the demand for its products, indicating investor caution. |
| 2025-12-31 15:47:46 The articles highlight significant demand for Nvidia's AI processors, particularly in China, suggesting a positive market trend for AI technology. |
| 2025-12-31 13:48:17 Nvidia's collaboration with TSMC to boost H200 output reflects strategic partnerships aimed at meeting rising demand. |
| 2025-12-31 13:48:17 The increased demand and associated risks for semiconductor ETFs tied to China policy highlight potential vulnerabilities in supply chains. |
| 2025-12-31 13:48:17 The surge in demand for Nvidia's AI chips, particularly from China, indicates a strong growth trend in the semiconductor industry. |
| 2025-12-31 11:48:30 The competitive dynamics in the AI chip market are intensifying as Nvidia seeks to fulfill substantial order quantities for its H200 chips. |
| 2025-12-31 11:48:30 The performance of Nvidia's stock is tied to its production capabilities and market demand, influencing its valuation in the competitive landscape. |
| 2025-12-31 11:48:30 The discussion around a potential AI market bubble suggests skepticism in the investment community regarding the sustainability of AI-driven stocks. |
| 2025-12-31 11:48:30 Nvidia's engagement with TSMC for ramping up production indicates a strong partnership that is essential for meeting market demand. |
| 2025-12-31 11:48:30 Nvidia is experiencing significant demand for its H200 AI chips, particularly from Chinese companies, prompting the company to increase production. |
| 2025-12-31 09:35:01 The competition among tech companies for AI hardware is intensifying, with firms like Nvidia and TSMC facing pressure to meet demands. |
| 2025-12-31 09:35:01 Concerns surrounding the legality of chip exports and potential smuggling into China highlight regulatory challenges facing the industry. |
| 2025-12-31 09:35:01 There is a strong and increasing demand for AI chips in the global market, particularly from China, indicating robust growth in the AI sector. |
| 2025-12-31 09:35:01 The rising demand for AI chips, particularly from Chinese firms, is leading to supply shortages and crunches for Nvidia. |
| 2025-12-31 09:35:01 The significant financial commitments by companies like ByteDance in Nvidia chips signal a strong investment trend in AI technology. |