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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.1, and the negative at -0.2 on 2025-12-30. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.2), Valuation Sentiment (0.8), Stock Price Trend (0.7), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Sector Price Trend (0.3) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.5), and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-30 | 2%(2.9%) | 187.54 | 75 | -0.36% | 0.66% | 0.7 | -0.11% | 1% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 4.2 | 4.9 |
| 2025-12-29 | 3%(2.6%) | 188.22 | 81 | -1.21% | 0.72% | 1 | 0% | 0.9% | 1.2 | Wait | 50% | 3.9 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-28 | 2%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 3%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1 | 3.9 | 3.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(2%) | 190.53 | 96 | 1.02% | 0.56% | 1.5 | 0.05% | 0.8% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| 2025-12-25 | 3%(1.7%) | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 3%(1.4%) | 188.61 | 92 | -0.32% | 0.22% | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.2% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0%(1.1%) | 189.22 | 103 | 3.06% | 0.28% | 1.2 | 0.27% | 1.6% | 0.9 | Short | 80% | 2 | -3 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2%(1.3%) | 183.6 | 74 | 1.44% | -0.11% | 0.7 | 0.28% | 1.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.6 | 0.28% | 0.6 | 2.2 | 3 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-30 17:48:42 The integration of Groq's employees into Nvidia suggests a positive approach to expanding expertise within the company. |
| 2025-12-30 17:48:42 Nvidia's significant financial investment in acquiring Groq highlights its strategy to enhance its technological capabilities. |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:38 The forecasts and analyses point towards continued growth in the AI sector beyond 2025, suggesting that investments will significantly shape the industry's future. |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:38 There is a noticeable concern regarding Nvidia's stock performance amidst market fluctuations, reflecting investor uncertainty due to profit-taking and broader market trends. |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:38 Nvidia's recent acquisitions, including the Groq deal and potential acquisition of AI21 Labs, are framed as strategic initiatives to enhance their capabilities in the AI space. |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:38 Several articles highlight the increasing competition for Nvidia in the AI chip sector, pointing out the emergence of other companies that outpaced it in growth. |
| 2025-12-30 17:00:38 The articles indicate Nvidia's leading position in the AI chip market, showcasing its substantial growth due to rising demand for AI technologies. |
| 2025-12-30 15:48:01 Nvidia is making progress on its long-term goals, reinforcing confidence in its future product and service strategies. |
| 2025-12-30 15:48:01 Nvidia is actively looking to invest in other companies, as indicated by their talks to acquire A21 Labs. |
| 2025-12-30 13:48:17 Significant financial investments, such as Nvidia's acquisition of Groq, highlight the growing capital injection in AI development. |
| 2025-12-30 13:48:17 Positive sentiments from analysts regarding specific AI stocks, excluding Nvidia, indicating a diverse investment landscape. |
| 2025-12-30 13:48:17 The competitive landscape created by China's advancements in AI technology posing a threat to Nvidia's dominance in the market. |
| 2025-12-30 13:48:17 Nvidia's strategic decisions, including mergers and acquisitions to strengthen its position in the AI industry, showcasing its leadership in innovation. |
| 2025-12-30 13:48:17 The trend of companies like Nvidia investing heavily in artificial intelligence startups, indicated by the potential acquisition of AI21 Labs. |
| 2025-12-30 11:48:12 The $20 billion investment indicates Nvidia's strong belief in future growth and market potential through acquiring advanced technology. |
| 2025-12-30 11:48:12 Nvidia's acquisition of Groq highlights the strategic partnership and integration of new technology to enhance its capabilities. |
| 2025-12-30 09:35:40 The stock market's reaction to Nvidia's strategic decisions reflects positively on its financial outlook. |
| 2025-12-30 09:35:40 Nvidia's strategic direction indicates a focus on enhancing its technology for inference capabilities in AI. |
| 2025-12-30 09:35:40 Nvidia's acquisition of Groq's technology signifies a strong investment move aimed at future AI developments. |
| 2025-12-30 09:35:40 Nvidia's strategic investment in Groq highlights its efforts to maintain dominance in the AI chip market. |