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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.5 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.2, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-28. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (4.1), Stock Price Trend (1.5), Valuation Sentiment (1.5), Sector Price Trend (0.3), Option Sentiment (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Market Risk Appetite (-0.6) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-28 | 2%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1.1 | 4.1 | 4.3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-27 | 3%(2.4%) | 1.5 | 0.05% | 1 | 3.9 | 3.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-26 | 4%(2%) | 190.53 | 96 | 1.02% | 0.56% | 1.5 | 0.05% | 0.8% | 0.9 | Wait | 50% | 3.8 | 5.4 |
| 2025-12-25 | 3%(1.7%) | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.4 | 3.4 | 5.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-24 | 3%(1.4%) | 188.61 | 92 | -0.32% | 0.22% | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.2% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0%(1.1%) | 189.22 | 103 | 3.06% | 0.28% | 1.2 | 0.27% | 1.6% | 0.9 | Short | 80% | 2 | -3 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2%(1.3%) | 183.6 | 74 | 1.44% | -0.11% | 0.7 | 0.28% | 1.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.6 | 0.28% | 0.6 | 2.2 | 3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-20 | 0%(1.1%) | 0.6 | 0.28% | 0.9 | 2.6 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-19 | 2%(1.1%) | 180.99 | 59 | 3.93% | -0.11% | 0.6 | 0.28% | 1.9% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-28 17:47:04 Nvidia's entry into non-GPU chip technology signifies a development in their product offerings, aiming to enhance their service capabilities in AI. |
| 2025-12-28 17:47:04 Jensen Huang's humble beginnings and hands-on leadership style have contributed to Nvidia's growth and earned admiration from industry peers, including Elon Musk. |
| 2025-12-28 17:47:04 Nvidia's acquisition of Groq is a strategic move to remove a competitor from the market and expand its capabilities in AI inference chips. |
| 2025-12-28 17:00:31 Nvidia's licensing agreements and partnerships in AI are seen as essential for its expansion into new technology markets and improving its product offerings. |
| 2025-12-28 17:00:31 The various hedge fund investments and adjustments in Nvidia's stock holdings indicate mixed sentiment and speculation about the company's future stock performance. |
| 2025-12-28 17:00:31 The increasing competition within the AI and chip industry raises concerns about Nvidia's market position and reliance on the AI boom for future growth. |
| 2025-12-28 17:00:31 Nvidia's significant investment in Groq showcases its strategy of acquiring technology to enhance its offerings while eliminating competition. |
| 2025-12-28 17:00:31 The theme highlights the impact of leadership styles, particularly Jensen Huang's humble approach, which has been praised and is seen as a key factor in Nvidia's success. |
| 2025-12-28 13:46:20 The discussion includes trends in the industry that may affect Nvidia's market positioning and future opportunities. |
| 2025-12-28 13:46:20 The focus is on Nvidia's ongoing product development and innovations, indicating a robust approach to market demands. |
| 2025-12-28 13:46:20 The article discusses Nvidia's plans and expectations for stock performance in 2026, reflecting a positive outlook. |