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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.3 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.4, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-24. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.7), Valuation Sentiment (2.3), Stock Price Trend (1.4), Market Risk Appetite (1.3), Sector Price Trend (0.6), and Option Sentiment (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (-0.5) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-24 | 3%(1.4%) | 188.61 | 92 | -0.32% | 0.22% | 1.4 | 0.11% | 1.2% | 1.3 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | 5.6 |
| 2025-12-23 | 0%(1.1%) | 189.22 | 103 | 3.06% | 0.28% | 1.2 | 0.27% | 1.6% | 0.9 | Short | 80% | 2 | -3 |
| 2025-12-22 | 2%(1.3%) | 183.6 | 74 | 1.44% | -0.11% | 0.7 | 0.28% | 1.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.5 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-21 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.6 | 0.28% | 0.6 | 2.2 | 3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-20 | 0%(1.1%) | 0.6 | 0.28% | 0.9 | 2.6 | -1 | |||||||
| 2025-12-19 | 2%(1.1%) | 180.99 | 59 | 3.93% | -0.11% | 0.6 | 0.28% | 1.9% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 2025-12-18 | 1%(1%) | 174.14 | 13 | 1.87% | -0.5% | -0.1 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 5.5 |
| 2025-12-17 | 1%(1%) | 170.94 | -12 | -3.81% | -0.5% | -0.3 | -0.17% | 1.4% | 0.6 | Long | 70% | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 2025-12-16 | 1%(1%) | 177.72 | 25 | 0.91% | -0.17% | -0.5 | -0.11% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Short | 65% | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-15 | 1%(1.4%) | 176.12 | 11 | 0.59% | -0.22% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-24 22:46:29 The collaboration between Nvidia and Groq highlights a trend towards innovation and advancement in AI technologies. |
| 2025-12-24 22:46:29 The $20 billion investment in Groq signifies a significant commitment by Nvidia to bolster its capabilities in AI technology. |
| 2025-12-24 22:46:29 Nvidia's moves reflect its aim to solidify its dominance in the AI chip market amidst increasing competition. |
| 2025-12-24 22:46:29 The acquisition of Groq's executive team by Nvidia suggests significant shifts in leadership that may influence future strategies. |
| 2025-12-24 22:46:29 Nvidia's licensing deal with Groq showcases a strategic partnership to enhance AI technology through shared resources. |
| 2025-12-24 17:48:11 Nvidia's acquisition and partnerships reinforce its position as a leader in the AI chip sector. |
| 2025-12-24 17:48:11 Nvidia's licensing deal with Groq points to strategic partnerships aimed at enhancing innovation in AI. |
| 2025-12-24 17:48:11 The increased investment in AI startups indicates a booming market presence and potential for growth in AI technologies. |
| 2025-12-24 17:48:11 Nvidia's acquisition of Groq signifies a strong move towards strengthening its position in the AI hardware market. |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:33 Intel's challenges with its 18A chip production process and Nvidia's decision to halt collaboration have raised concerns about its future competitiveness in the semiconductor market. |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:33 Nvidia's stock continues to perform well, overcoming competitive pressures from rivals like Intel and AMD, despite occasional fluctuations. |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:33 Current trends indicate a bullish outlook for semiconductor stocks, particularly Nvidia, as the market anticipates strong sales and advancements in technology. |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:33 Nvidia's acquisition of AI chip startup Groq is expected to enhance its product offerings and strengthen its position in the AI and semiconductor industries. |
| 2025-12-24 17:00:33 Nvidia is viewed as a leader in the AI chip market, with significant growth potential driven by its advanced technologies and strategic acquisitions. |
| 2025-12-24 15:48:02 The changing dynamics in the supply chain for Nvidia's chips due to the surge in demand. |
| 2025-12-24 15:48:02 Despite Nvidia's success, there are signs of caution related to its market position and earnings potential. |
| 2025-12-24 15:48:02 The rise of Nvidia’s technology in the market, especially with the surge of 'neocloud' applications. |
| 2025-12-24 11:48:10 The mention of an alternative semiconductor stock indicates a competitive landscape within the semiconductor market as more companies emerge to capitalize on AI growth. |
| 2025-12-24 11:48:10 Nvidia's impressive stock increase of 31% suggests a strong performance in the semiconductor sector, highlighting investor interest and market strength. |
| 2025-12-24 11:48:10 The significant rise in Nvidia's stock price is attributed to the overall boom in artificial intelligence hardware, indicating a strong positive industry trend. |
| 2025-12-24 09:34:45 Investors are focusing on Nvidia's competitive advantages in the AI chip market as essential for future growth. |
| 2025-12-24 09:34:45 Investors remain hopeful that Nvidia can resume sales to China, which would significantly impact its earnings. |
| 2025-12-24 09:34:45 There is a strong demand for AI chips, prompting companies like TSMC to accelerate production efforts, indicating a booming trend in the industry. |
| 2025-12-24 09:34:45 Analysts predict that Nvidia and other AI stocks will be significant winners in the coming years, highlighting an optimistic outlook on future investments. |
| 2025-12-24 09:34:45 Nvidia's recent stock performance indicates its significant impact on the wider tech market and the S&P 500. |