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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. The market sentiment at 1 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.1, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-19. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.6), Valuation Sentiment (2.6), Stock Price Trend (0.6), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.1), and Market Risk Appetite (-0.4) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-19 | 2%(1.1%) | 180.99 | 59 | 3.93% | -0.11% | 0.6 | 0.28% | 1.9% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2.6 | 3.8 |
| 2025-12-18 | 1%(1%) | 174.14 | 13 | 1.87% | -0.5% | -0.1 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 5.5 |
| 2025-12-17 | 1%(1%) | 170.94 | -12 | -3.81% | -0.5% | -0.3 | -0.17% | 1.4% | 0.6 | Long | 70% | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 2025-12-16 | 1%(1%) | 177.72 | 25 | 0.91% | -0.17% | -0.5 | -0.11% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Short | 65% | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-15 | 1%(1.4%) | 176.12 | 11 | 0.59% | -0.22% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2%(1.7%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6.6 | |||||||
| 2025-12-13 | 0%(1.9%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-12 | 1%(2.1%) | 175.08 | 3 | -3.25% | -0.11% | -0.2 | -0.28% | 1.7% | 0.7 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025-12-11 | 1%(2.1%) | 180.96 | 39 | -1.51% | 0.06% | 0.8 | -0.11% | 1.3% | 0.8 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | -2.3 |
| 2025-12-10 | 1%(2.1%) | 183.74 | 53 | -0.64% | 0.33% | 0.7 | 0.05% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 2.1 | 1 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. The trend sentiment plus market sentiment (moving force) is positive, and market sentiment change is positive. The price level is not too high. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-19 17:00:31 The competitive rivalry between Nvidia, Alphabet, and other chip makers is shaping the AI chip market. |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:31 Analysts are bullish on Nvidia's stock valuation, predicting significant potential for growth. |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:31 There is rising investment in AI-related companies, highlighting confidence in AI infrastructure. |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:31 Ongoing US government reviews and regulations are affecting Nvidia's ability to sell to China. |
| 2025-12-19 17:00:31 Nvidia's consistent growth and leadership in AI chip sales underline its dominant position in the market. |
| 2025-12-19 15:48:19 The articles reflect a broader tech rally, with Nvidia being a key player, suggesting an overarching optimistic trend in the technology sector, especially involving AI chips. |
| 2025-12-19 15:48:19 There is a consensus among analysts that buying Nvidia stock at current levels is historically advantageous for investors, which adds a layer of positive sentiment towards investment strategies. |
| 2025-12-19 15:48:19 The articles collectively emphasize how regulatory reviews by the government, particularly concerning exports to China, can positively influence stock prices and market behavior. |
| 2025-12-19 15:48:19 The articles highlight a significant increase in Nvidia's stock price following favorable news regarding chip export reviews, indicating strong market performance. |
| 2025-12-19 13:48:50 Nvidia's potential permission to export AI chips to China signals a trend towards increased market access and growth opportunities. |
| 2025-12-19 13:48:50 Tencent's use of a workaround to access Nvidia chips reflects challenges and complexities in export regulations. |
| 2025-12-19 13:48:50 Articles indicate that Nvidia's valuation is currently attractive, suggesting potential for future returns. |
| 2025-12-19 11:48:55 Analysts are recommending buying Nvidia stock at its current low valuation, indicating positive future expectations. |
| 2025-12-19 11:48:55 Nvidia's stock is currently considered cheap relative to its historical performance, suggesting a potential for future gains. |
| 2025-12-19 09:35:14 The sale of a significant portion of Nvidia shares by Coatue Management, which suggests cautious sentiment towards Nvidia's prospects in the changing regulatory landscape. |
| 2025-12-19 09:35:14 Recent increases in Nvidia stock value as the company approaches potential permission to sell AI chips to China, indicating strong market confidence. |
| 2025-12-19 09:35:14 The U.S. government's potential regulatory changes regarding the sale of Nvidia's AI chips to China, reflecting concerns over national security and economic interests. |