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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.1 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.7, and the negative at -0.1 on 2025-12-18. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.9), Market Risk Appetite (-0.2), and Stock Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (0.5), Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.8) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-18 | 1%(1%) | 174.14 | 13 | 1.87% | -0.5% | -0.1 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 2.8 | 5.5 |
| 2025-12-17 | 1%(1%) | 170.94 | -12 | -3.81% | -0.5% | -0.3 | -0.17% | 1.4% | 0.6 | Long | 70% | 2.2 | 3.2 |
| 2025-12-16 | 1%(1%) | 177.72 | 25 | 0.91% | -0.17% | -0.5 | -0.11% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Short | 65% | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-15 | 1%(1.4%) | 176.12 | 11 | 0.59% | -0.22% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2%(1.7%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6.6 | |||||||
| 2025-12-13 | 0%(1.9%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-12 | 1%(2.1%) | 175.08 | 3 | -3.25% | -0.11% | -0.2 | -0.28% | 1.7% | 0.7 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025-12-11 | 1%(2.1%) | 180.96 | 39 | -1.51% | 0.06% | 0.8 | -0.11% | 1.3% | 0.8 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | -2.3 |
| 2025-12-10 | 1%(2.1%) | 183.74 | 53 | -0.64% | 0.33% | 0.7 | 0.05% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 2.1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-09 | 4%(2.1%) | 184.92 | 57 | -0.35% | 0.11% | 1.2 | 0.11% | 0.7% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-18 17:00:31 Nvidia's revenue generation from the U.S. market is affected by regulatory changes and tariffs, presenting challenges for future earnings. |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:31 Positive earnings reports from Nvidia and other key players like Micron indicate strong financial health and potential for continued growth. |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:31 Nvidia's stock shows volatility, influenced by overall market trends and investor sentiment regarding AI investments and potential bubbles. |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:31 There are significant investments being made in AI infrastructure by Nvidia and partnerships with startups like Lovable, indicating a focus on growth and innovation. |
| 2025-12-18 17:00:31 Nvidia faces increasing competition from companies like Alphabet and local Chinese chip manufacturers, indicating a competitive landscape in the AI hardware market. |
| 2025-12-18 13:48:13 Earnings reports from other tech companies, like Micron Technology, provide assurance to investors about the stability of AI investments in the market. |
| 2025-12-18 13:48:13 Recent gains in Nvidia's stock value indicate market confidence and investor interest, particularly related to earnings from relevant tech sectors. |
| 2025-12-18 13:48:13 Positive sentiment surrounding Nvidia stock reflects the optimism in the artificial intelligence market and investments driving growth. |
| 2025-12-18 13:48:13 Concerns about how tariffs may negatively affect Nvidia's revenue, particularly with a focus on U.S. sales and potential expansion to China. |
| 2025-12-18 09:34:26 Earnings reports, particularly from Micron Technology, provided reassurance to the market concerning investments in AI, thereby impacting Nvidia positively. |
| 2025-12-18 09:34:26 The market's positive reaction to investments in artificial intelligence, highlighted by Nvidia's stock movements, points to a growing confidence in this sector. |
| 2025-12-18 09:34:26 Nvidia stock showed significant gains, indicating strong performance in the market, particularly in light of positive earnings from Micron Technology which reassured investors. |