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| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.5 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.4 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for NVDA since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.2 on 2025-12-16. The forces of Stock Price Trend (-0.5), Market Risk Appetite (-0.5), and Sector Price Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Option Sentiment (0.5), Valuation Sentiment (0.9), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.7) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | 1%(1%) | 177.72 | 25 | 0.91% | -0.17% | -0.5 | -0.11% | 0.5% | 0.4 | Short | 65% | 1.7 | 4.6 |
| 2025-12-15 | 1%(1.4%) | 176.12 | 11 | 0.59% | -0.22% | -0.3 | -0.06% | 1.2% | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 2025-12-14 | 2%(1.7%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.6 | 1.9 | 6.6 | |||||||
| 2025-12-13 | 0%(1.9%) | -0.2 | -0.28% | 0.4 | 1.6 | 4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-12 | 1%(2.1%) | 175.08 | 3 | -3.25% | -0.11% | -0.2 | -0.28% | 1.7% | 0.7 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 2025-12-11 | 1%(2.1%) | 180.96 | 39 | -1.51% | 0.06% | 0.8 | -0.11% | 1.3% | 0.8 | Long | 70% | 1.6 | -2.3 |
| 2025-12-10 | 1%(2.1%) | 183.74 | 53 | -0.64% | 0.33% | 0.7 | 0.05% | 0.5% | 0.9 | Long | 70% | 2.1 | 1 |
| 2025-12-09 | 4%(2.1%) | 184.92 | 57 | -0.35% | 0.11% | 1.2 | 0.11% | 0.7% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| 2025-12-08 | 3%(1.7%) | 185.57 | 56 | 1.73% | 0.39% | 0.8 | 0.16% | 0.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2 | 4.8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3%(1.6%) | 0.8 | 0.11% | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |||||||
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Negative trend sentiment and hourly trend. Market sentiment has limited impact on price movement. Short with caution considering the lower price level. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-16 22:47:11 NVIDIA's strategic position and advancements in AI technology provide significant competitive advantages. |
| 2025-12-16 22:47:11 NVIDIA's impressive Q3 revenue reflects strong financial performance bolstered by AI chip demand. |
| 2025-12-16 22:47:11 Significant investments from major investors like Third Point indicate strong confidence in NVIDIA's future. |
| 2025-12-16 22:47:11 The increasing demand for AI chips as companies invest heavily in AI technologies. |
| 2025-12-16 17:00:35 Concerns regarding regulatory impacts and market dynamics are noted, especially with Nvidia's exports to China and tariffs affecting its operations. |
| 2025-12-16 17:00:35 Nvidia's recent acquisitions, such as that of SchedMD, are aimed at enhancing its AI capabilities and software infrastructure, showcasing its commitment to growth. |
| 2025-12-16 17:00:35 Articles reflect the volatility in Nvidia's stock price amid market sentiment toward AI and economic indicators, impacting investor confidence. |
| 2025-12-16 17:00:35 Nvidia is seen as a leader in the AI sector, with demand for its chips outpacing supply, indicating a robust trend in AI technology investments. |
| 2025-12-16 17:00:35 Many articles highlight Nvidia's strong revenue growth and its potential to dominate in AI and semiconductor markets in the coming years. |
| 2025-12-16 15:48:31 The increase in collaboration between SK Hynix and Nvidia indicates a strong commitment to advancing technology in the AI storage space. |
| 2025-12-16 15:48:31 There are growing fears surrounding a potential bubble in the AI sector, impacting Nvidia's stock, though some analysts believe these fears may be exaggerated. |
| 2025-12-16 15:48:31 The collaboration between SK Hynix and Nvidia highlights advancements in storage solutions specifically designed for AI applications. |
| 2025-12-16 11:48:54 Despite the fears of an AI bubble, analyst opinions suggest that the concerns may be overstated, reflecting a positive outlook on Nvidia's performance. |
| 2025-12-16 11:48:54 The concern surrounding Nvidia stock due to potential overvaluation related to AI advancements, indicating skepticism in the sustainability of stock performance. |
| 2025-12-16 09:35:20 The examination of Nvidia's stock movements in relation to market sentiment and underlying fundamentals. |
| 2025-12-16 09:35:20 Positive perspectives from analysts, particularly from UBS, suggesting that fears regarding the AI bubble are exaggerated. |
| 2025-12-16 09:35:20 The apprehension surrounding the potential overvaluation of AI-related stocks, particularly Nvidia's, reflecting broader worries in the tech industry. |