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| Nvidia is making significant strides in product and service development, particularly through the enhancement of AI model performance and the introduction of innovative technologies in the chip market. The company's focus on advancing AI development reflects its commitment to integrating cutting-edge solutions across various sectors, including automotive computing. With a strong emphasis on product innovation, Nvidia's new AI chips are designed to reinforce its competitive edge. However, the market reception of these innovations remains uncertain, especially in competitive regions like China. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.2 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 1.1 is very bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.1, and the negative at 0 on 2025-12-09. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.2), Sector Price Trend (1.4), Stock Price Trend (1.2), Market Risk Appetite (1.1), Valuation Sentiment (0.8), Option Sentiment (0.5), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| NVDA | |||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-09 | 4%(2.1%) | 184.92 | 57 | -0.35% | 0.11% | 1.2 | 0.11% | 0.7% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 2.2 | 0.1 |
| 2025-12-08 | 3%(1.7%) | 185.57 | 56 | 1.73% | 0.39% | 0.8 | 0.16% | 0.7% | 1 | Long | 65% | 2 | 4.8 |
| 2025-12-07 | 3%(1.6%) | 0.8 | 0.11% | 0.8 | 1.8 | 2.4 | |||||||
| 2025-12-06 | 2%(1.1%) | 0.8 | 0.11% | 0.7 | 2 | 7.3 | |||||||
| 2025-12-05 | 1%(1.1%) | 182.41 | 41 | -0.57% | 0.11% | 0.8 | 0.11% | 0.6% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | 2.1 | 5 |
| 2025-12-04 | 1%(1.1%) | 183.46 | 45 | 2.15% | -0.17% | 0.6 | 0.15% | 0.6% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| 2025-12-03 | 1%(1.3%) | 179.59 | 27 | -1.03% | -0.11% | 0.7 | 0.18% | 0.8% | 0.5 | Long | 65% | 2 | 2.1 |
| 2025-12-02 | 1%(1.6%) | 181.46 | 32 | 0.86% | -0.28% | 0.6 | 0.15% | 0.9% | 0.3 | Long | 65% | 0.9 | -2.5 |
| 2025-12-01 | 2%(2.1%) | 179.92 | 26 | 1.93% | -0.55% | 1.3 | 0.33% | 0.5% | 0.1 | Long | 65% | 0.6 | 2.8 |
| 2025-11-30 | 0%(2.1%) | 1 | 0.25% | 0.1 | 0.4 | 7 | |||||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. The trend sentiment plus market sentiment (moving force) is positive, and market sentiment change is positive. The price level is not too high. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | |||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | |||||||||||||
| Analysis | ||
| ● NVDA: A Bottom Taking Shape — Why a Near-Term Long Is Back on the Table Mon. Sep 8, 2025 | ||
| 2025-12-09 17:49:07 Nvidia's decision to sell to China was influenced by the competitive landscape with Huawei, which has comparable AI technology. |
| 2025-12-09 17:49:07 Despite the significance of Trump's announcement, the muted market response suggests caution among investors regarding technology stocks and geopolitical risks. |
| 2025-12-09 17:49:07 The approval for Nvidia to sell H200 chips in China indicates a shift in regulatory stance, which may have implications for international tech trade. |
| 2025-12-09 17:00:35 Nvidia faces increased competition from other companies in the AI chip market, influencing strategies and market share. |
| 2025-12-09 17:00:35 Nvidia's continuous investment and partnerships in AI infrastructure drive its position as a leader in the tech industry, reflecting significant growth opportunities. |
| 2025-12-09 17:00:35 The political implications of allowing Nvidia to sell chips to China have raised concerns regarding national security and potential backlash domestically. |
| 2025-12-09 17:00:35 Nvidia's stock has shown volatility in response to news about chip export approvals and market perceptions of future revenue from China. |
| 2025-12-09 17:00:35 The approval of Nvidia to sell its H200 AI chips to China under specific conditions is a significant regulatory shift impacting the company's market strategy and revenue potential. |
| 2025-12-09 15:48:22 Comparisons between Nvidia and Palantir indicate a competitive landscape among tech stocks as investors look for the best performance ahead. |
| 2025-12-09 15:48:22 Trump's involvement and the mixed reception from GOP highlight the impact of political decisions on Nvidia and its business operations. |
| 2025-12-09 15:48:22 Nvidia's ability to sell chips in China is affected by regulatory constraints, raising concerns about the future of these sales. |
| 2025-12-09 15:48:22 Nvidia is projected to perform strongly in the stock market, with analysts highlighting its potential alongside other major companies like Microsoft and Amazon. |
| 2025-12-09 13:48:46 Recent charges against the smuggling of Nvidia chips highlight ongoing legal challenges in international trade and regulations. |
| 2025-12-09 13:48:46 The approval for chip sales boosts market confidence in Nvidia's stock, suggesting positive investor sentiment. |
| 2025-12-09 13:48:46 Nvidia's leadership emphasizes the significant financial potential of AI in the Chinese market, highlighting strong future growth prospects. |
| 2025-12-09 13:48:46 The shifting regulatory landscape allows Nvidia to sell chips to China, indicating increased opportunities for the company. |
| 2025-12-09 11:49:30 Potential limitations posed by the Chinese government on accessing H200 chips highlight challenges in international trade and regulation. |
| 2025-12-09 11:49:30 Nvidia's stock has shown volatility following the news of chip exports, indicating mixed investor sentiment. |
| 2025-12-09 11:49:30 The approval for Nvidia to export AI chips to China signifies a potential shift in the AI industry landscape and its growth prospects. |
| 2025-12-09 11:49:30 The discussion around Nvidia's ability to sell its H200 chips in China reflects changing market dynamics influenced by regulatory approvals and restrictions. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 The complexities around export laws and potential smuggling issues indicate ongoing legal challenges in international tech sales. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 Analysts suggest that the export approval gives China a competitive advantage in the AI race, raising concerns in the tech industry. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 The ongoing negotiations and decisions regarding tech exports highlight the delicate balancing act in U.S.-China relations. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 Market fluctuations reflect investor reactions to changes in tech policy, especially concerning Nvidia and its competitive position. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 China's plan to limit access to H200 chips despite U.S. approval indicates potential regulatory hurdles in the tech trade landscape. |
| 2025-12-09 09:35:52 The approval of Nvidia's export of advanced chips to China by U.S. authorities raises questions about security implications and trade relations. |