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Sector: Semiconductors
| The increasing investment in artificial intelligence technologies is driving substantial growth in product and service development, particularly for Nvidia. Their commitment to advancing AI chips highlights the importance of technological innovation to meet market demands, especially as they adapt to regional variances such as those in China. This focus on AI and technological adaptation positions Nvidia at the forefront of the rapidly evolving landscape. However, the competitive environment and regulatory challenges could impact their capacity to maintain this momentum. |
| The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 3.7 is extremely bullish. The market sentiment at 1 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1.3, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-05-07. The forces of Stock Price Trend (3.7), Sector Price Trend (2.5), Option Sentiment (1.5), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.9), and Market Risk Appetite (0.5) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (-0.5), and Valuation Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
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| NVDA | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | 0%(0%) | 117.06 | 4.55% | 89 | 3.1% | 1.36% | 3.7 | 0 | 1% | 1.1 | Long | 65% | 0.9 | -1 |
| 2025-05-06 | 0%(0%) | 113.54 | 4.95% | 76 | -0.25% | 1.29% | 2.9 | 0 | 1% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | 0.3 | -1 |
| 2025-05-05 | 0%(0%) | 113.82 | 5.15% | 80 | -0.59% | 1.59% | 3.4 | 0 | 1% | 0.8 | Long | 65% | -0.3 | -1 |
| 2025-05-04 | 0%(0%) | 2.4 | 0 | 0.5 | -0.7 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2025-05-03 | 0%(0%) | 2.4 | 0 | 0.5 | -1 | -1 | ||||||||
| 2025-05-02 | 0%(0%) | 114.5 | 5.45% | 84 | 2.59% | 1.23% | 2.4 | 0 | 1% | 0.7 | Long | 65% | -0.6 | -1 |
| 2025-05-01 | 0%(0%) | 111.61 | 5.35% | 76 | 2.47% | 0.67% | 1.8 | 0 | 1% | 0.6 | Long | 65% | -0.4 | -1 |
| 2025-04-30 | 0%(0%) | 108.92 | 5.44% | 66 | -0.09% | -0.29% | 0.7 | 0 | 1% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | -0.4 | -1 |
| 2025-04-29 | 0%(0%) | 109.02 | 5.47% | 66 | 0.27% | -0.19% | 1.7 | 0 | 1% | 0.9 | Long | 65% | -0.2 | -1 |
| 2025-04-28 | 0%(0%) | 108.73 | 5.46% | 64 | -2.05% | -0.19% | 2.1 | 0 | 1% | 1.3 | Long | 65% | -0.2 | -1 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very strong. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| 2025-05-18 21:16:53 The mixed earnings reports from Nvidia and competitors, reflecting the volatility and pressures of the current market environment. |
| 2025-05-18 21:16:53 The increasing investment in AI technologies and related hardware, highlighting potential growth in sectors like robotics and biotechnology. |
| 2025-05-18 21:16:53 The challenges faced by companies like Super Micro due to delays in AI server delivery and supply limitations from Nvidia. |
| 2025-05-18 21:16:53 Nvidia's strong position in the AI chip sector, bolstered by innovative products and demand for AI technologies. |
| 2025-05-18 21:16:53 The impact of regulatory changes, particularly by the Trump administration, on the AI chip market, influencing companies like Nvidia and AMD. |