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NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Apr 4, 2025

One Week Return: -14.01%, One Month Return: -18.69%, Three Month Return: -34.72%

Sector: Semiconductors

Recent advancements in AI technology by Nvidia have showcased significant performance benchmarks, establishing a strong competitive edge in the market. The innovative chip architecture not only enhances AI processing capabilities but also has wide-ranging implications for multiple industries. These developments are crucial as they position Nvidia at the forefront of the AI revolution. However, as competition increases, the need for continuous innovation remains a critical challenge.

The price action of NVIDIA (NVDA) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -5.7 is extremely bearish. The market sentiment at -1.5 is very bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next. NVDA is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -1.9 on 2025-04-04. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-6.8), Stock Price Trend (-5.7), Valuation Sentiment (-1), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-0.6), and Market Risk Appetite (-0.5) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (1), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.

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NVDA
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-04-040%(0%)      94.31 7.19%    -19    -7.36%    -2.04% -5.7    0    1%    -1.5    Short    70% -0.6    -1   
2025-04-030%(0%)      101.8 5.18%    -7    -7.81%    -1.49% -3.6    0    1%    -1.4    Short    70% -0.5    -1   
2025-04-020%(0%)      110.42 4.13%    29    0.25%    -0.61% -1.6    0    1%    -0.5    Short    65% -0.3    -1   
2025-04-010%(0%)      110.15 4.09%    25    1.63%    -0.52% -2.7    0    1%    -0.9    Short    65% -0.8    -1   
2025-03-310%(0%)      108.38 4.06%    12    -1.18%    -0.94% -3.5    0    1%    -1.1    Short    65% -1.1    -1   
2025-03-280%(0%)      109.67 3.77%    16    -1.58%    -1.02% -3    0    1%    -0.6    Short    65% -0.6    -1   
2025-03-270%(0%)      111.43 3.98%    24    -2.05%    -0.34% -1.8    0    1%    -0    Short    65% 0.1    -1   
2025-03-260%(0%)      113.76 3.86%    35    -5.74%    -0.17% -1.7    0    1%    -0.1    Short    65% 0.5    -1   
2025-03-250%(0%)      120.69 4.47%    66    -0.59%    1.02% 1.6    0    1%    0.8    Long    65% 0.7    -1   
2025-03-240%(0%)      121.41 4.72%    67    3.15%    1.3% 1.2    0    1%    0.8    Long    55% 1    -1   
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 70% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-05-18 21:21:07 Recent investments in AI startups, including SandboxAQ backed by Nvidia, highlight the ongoing capital injection in the AI sector.
2025-05-18 21:21:07 Nvidia is viewed as a major player in the artificial intelligence sector, influencing market trends and investor sentiment towards technology.
2025-05-18 21:21:07 Some analysts suggest that despite the current volatility, there are long-term investment opportunities in the market.
2025-05-18 21:21:07 The negative impact of President Trump's tariffs on technology stocks, particularly Nvidia and its peers, has become a common theme among analysts.
2025-05-18 21:21:07 Nvidia's stock has seen significant declines due to market reactions to tariffs and investor concerns, leading to negative sentiment around its financial performance.


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