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| The price action of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for MSFT since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.3, and the negative at -0.5 on 2025-09-25. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.3), Sector Price Trend (0.3), Stock Price Trend (0.1), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1.5), and Market Risk Appetite (-1.6) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | 0% | 0.4% | 506.91 | 50 | -0.64% | 0.1% | 0.1 | -0.2 | Wait | 50% | 0.3 | -8.5 |
| 2025-09-24 | 0% | 0.4% | 510.15 | 64 | 0.18% | 0.2% | 0.2 | 0 | Wait | 50% | 0.2 | 4.5 |
| 2025-09-23 | 0% | 0.4% | 509.23 | 62 | -1.01% | 0.22% | 0.2 | 0.2 | Wait | 50% | 0.8 | -4.5 |
| 2025-09-22 | 1% | 0.4% | 514.45 | 85 | -0.67% | 0.32% | 0.3 | 0.3 | Short | 55% | 1.8 | -2 |
| 2025-09-21 | 1% | 0.3% | 1.2 | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 2.6 | 5.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-20 | 1% | 0.1% | 1.2 | 0.6 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | 0.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-18 | 0% | 0% | 508.45 | 66 | -0.31% | 0.02% | 0.5 | 0.9 | Long | 65% | 2.7 | -1.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | 0% | 0% | 0.6 | 0.5 | Long | 70% | 2.8 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-10 | 0% | 0% | 500.37 | 26 | 0.39% | -0.04% | -0.1 | 0.7 | Wait | 50% | 2.7 | -1.5 |
| 2025-06-24 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.5 | Long | 88% | 2.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||
| 2025-09-25 18:00:10 Articles discussing Microsoft's stock performance and growth prospects reflect investor confidence in its strategic directions, particularly in AI and cloud services. |
| 2025-09-25 18:00:10 Collaborations with companies like Moveworks and Napster highlight Microsoft's strategy to foster innovation through partnerships in the AI technology space. |
| 2025-09-25 18:00:10 Microsoft's decision to disable services to the Israeli military over ethical concerns related to surveillance demonstrates its commitment to corporate responsibility and regulatory compliance. |
| 2025-09-25 18:00:10 Microsoft's significant investment in data centers, especially in AI infrastructure, reflects its long-term strategy to bolster cloud services and enhance its market position. |
| 2025-09-25 18:00:10 Microsoft's continued investments and developments in artificial intelligence, particularly with its AI tools and cloud capabilities, indicate a strong trend in combining AI with existing software and services. |
| 2025-09-25 14:28:36 The decision to cut off services appears to reflect a broader trend where companies are becoming responsive to public protests and employee advocacy. |
| 2025-09-25 14:28:36 The article suggests that Microsoft's leadership is influenced by employee activism and public opinion, showcasing a shift towards more socially responsible business practices. |
| 2025-09-25 14:28:36 The article highlights the ethical implications of cloud services being used by military units, reflecting a strong sentiment against technology companies' involvement in military activities. |