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Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. Sep 23, 2025

The price action of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. The market sentiment at 0.2 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.MSFT is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-09-23. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Sector Price Trend (1.3), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.8), Stock Price Trend (0.2), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.3), and Valuation Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


Earning Release: 2025-10-29 02:00, EPS: $13.62, P/E: 37.39

DateAttentionAverage
Attention
PricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-09-230%      0.4%        509.23 62      -1.01%      0.22%      0.2      0.2      Wait    50%    0.8      -4.5     
2025-09-221%      0.4%        514.45 85      -0.67%      0.32%      0.3      0.3      Short    55%    1.8      -2     
2025-09-211%      0.3%      1.2      0.6      Wait    50%    2.6      5.5     
2025-09-201%      0.1%      1.2      0.6      Wait    50%    2.7      0.5     
2025-09-180%      0%        508.45 66      -0.31%      0.02%      0.5      0.9      Long    65%    2.7      -1.5     
2025-09-140%      0%      0.6      0.5      Long    70%    2.8      -1.5     
2025-09-100%      0%        500.37 26      0.39%      -0.04%      -0.1      0.7      Wait    50%    2.7      -1.5     
2025-06-240%      0%      1      0.5      Long    88%    2.2      -1.5     
2025-05-130%      0%      1      0.6      Long    88%    2.8      -1.5     
2025-05-100%      0%      1      0.6      Long    88%    2.4      -1.5     
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-09-23 19:00:11 Market trends in technology can have significant impacts on stock valuations, and recent events may affect Microsoft’s market positioning.
2025-09-23 19:00:11 Potential concerns about rising costs within the company could be contributing to the negative sentiment reflected in stock performance.
2025-09-23 19:00:11 Microsoft faces ongoing competition in the tech industry which may be influencing investor sentiment and stock performance.
2025-09-23 19:00:11 The decline in stock price could be indicative of concerns regarding future earnings and market performance.
2025-09-23 19:00:11 The performance of Microsoft Corporation's stock shows a slight decline as indicated by the recent drop in share price.
2025-09-23 09:30:29 The expectation that OpenAI will become cash-flow positive by 2029, reflecting optimism about long-term financial viability.
2025-09-23 09:30:29 The ongoing financial struggles faced by AI companies like OpenAI, which are prioritizing growth over profitability despite significant losses.
2025-09-23 09:30:29 The increasing investment in AI technology by major tech firms, which is expected to surpass $500 billion in the early 2030s.


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