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U.S. Small Cap (IWM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Jan 23, 2026

Recent trends indicate that small-cap stocks are showing strong resilience and even outperforming larger stocks, signaling a positive shift in market dynamics. Optimism surrounding the U.S. economy in 2026 plays a critical role in bolstering investor sentiment. However, the sector faced challenges due to a notable selloff by a major investment fund, which may impact investor confidence. Overall, the small-cap sector remains a focal point for growth amid mixed sentiments.

The price action of U.S. Small Cap (IWM) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.3 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for IWM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.4 on 2026-01-23. The forces of Asset Sentiment (4), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Asset Price Trend (-0.3), and Option Sentiment (-1.2) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on IWM trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


IWM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPAsset
Sentiment
News
Sentiment
2026-01-230%(0.1%)      264.8 74    -1.86%    0.27%    -0.3    0.04%    0.9%    0.7    Long    55%   4    6.5   
2026-01-220%(0.3%)      269.8 94    0.76%    0.53%    1.3    0.11%    1.2%    1    Long    55%   4.3    6.5   
2026-01-211%(0.3%)      267.77 94    1.96%    0.46%    1.4    0%    0.6%    1    Long    55%   4.2    5.5   
2026-01-200%(0.1%)      262.63 79    -1.17%    0.38%    0.9    -0.08%    0.6%    1    Wait    50%   4.6    7   
2026-01-190%(0.1%)    1.5    0.08%    1.5          4.7    2   
2026-01-180%(0.1%)    1.5    0.08%    1.6          5.4    0   
2026-01-170%(0.1%)    1.5    0.08%    1.5          5    8   
2026-01-161%(0.1%)      265.74 95    0.08%    0.66%    1.5    0.08%    0.5%    1.3    Long    60%   5.4    7.1   
2026-01-150%(0.1%)      265.54 100    0.89%    0.74%    1.5    0.08%    0.8%    1.3    Long    70%   5.6    5   
2026-01-140%(0.1%)      263.21 99    0.7%    0.59%    1.3    0.04%    0.3%    1.4    Wait    50%   6    8   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Market News
 
1 (6) Small-Cap ETFs Draw Fresh Interest Amid Rate Cuts State Street's Matt Bartolini highlights small-cap ETFs, active management, and portfolio diversification as key investment themes in 2026. (https://www.etftrends.com/) Fri. Jan 23, 2026
2 (7) Small cap stocks are feeling the 'January Effect.' Why the gains could continue It's true. Good things come in small packages. Just take a look at the Russell 2000. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Fri. Jan 23, 2026
3 (8) Small Caps Notch Longest Win Streak Over S&P 500 Since 1996 The Russell 2000 Index beat the broader S&P 500 Index for the 14th straight session on Thursday, with the benchmark setting its longest stretch of wins over large caps since May 1996, when the dot-com boom was in its early days. “Goldman Sachs’ forecasts point to accelerating and above-consensus US economic growth alongside below-consensus inflation and continued Fed easing,” Goldman’s Matthew Kaplan wrote in a note published on Thursday. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Thu. Jan 22, 2026
4 (7) With small-cap stocks finally outperforming, here are the 'five Ps' to watch out for U.S. small-cap growth index is up about 7% this year, ahead of large-cap indexes. Read on for what to consider before investing. (https://financialpost.com/) Thu. Jan 22, 2026
5 (8) Russell 2000 Extends Records, Meta Jumps 5%: What's Moving Markets Thursday? U.S. stocks surged midday Thursday as strong GDP data pushed the Russell 2000 to record highs and investors shrugged off tariff and geopolitical fears. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Thu. Jan 22, 2026
 
6 (3) Small-cap stocks are off to a rare bullish start. History says tech is the better bet. Goldman Sachs crunched the numbers and found that smaller-cap stocks have seen some rare strong starts to the year. What happens a year later may discourage some bulls. (https://www.barrons.com/) Thu. Jan 22, 2026


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