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IBM (IBM) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Mon. Jan 5, 2026

The price action of IBM (IBM) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.9 is bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for IBM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.1 on 2026-01-05. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-0.4), Stock Price Trend (-0.4), and Sector Price Trend (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.9), Option Sentiment (1.5), and Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.9) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


Earning Release: 2026-01-28 02:00, EPS: $8.4, P/E: 35.11

IBM
DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2026-01-051%(0.1%)      294.96 7    1.25%    -0.2%    -0.4    -0.03%    0.8%    0.8    Long    75%    2.9    4.8   
2026-01-040%(0%)    -0.3    -0.08%    0.4          2.5    -1   
2026-01-030%(0.3%)    -0.3    -0.2%    0.5          3.3    -1   
2026-01-020%(0.3%)      291.33 -17    -1.67%    -0.4%    -0.3    -0.2%    1.6%    0.9    Long    80%    3.3    -1   
2026-01-010%(0.3%)    -0.5    -0.13%    0.7          3.3    -1   
2025-12-310%(0.3%)      296.27 -7    -1.91%    -0.23%    -0.5    -0.13%    1.3%    1.1    Long    80%    3.1    -6   
2025-12-300%(0.3%)      302.04 24    -1.2%    -0.23%    -0.3    -0.07%    0.5%    1    Long    70%    3.4    -1   
2025-12-290%(0.3%)      305.72 49    0.2%    -0.1%    0.4    0.03%    0.4%    1.2    Long    65%    3.1    -1   
2025-12-282%(0.3%)    0.5    0.03%    0.8          3.3    -3.8   
2025-12-270%(0%)    0.5    0.03%    1.2          2.5    -1   
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 75% chance of being right. The hourly trend is not too bearish and the price has reached very close to the lower boundary of Bollinger band.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2026-01-05 17:06:38 Discussion surrounding IBM's favorable upgrades contrasts with downgrades from competitor companies, reflecting competitive earnings perspectives.
2026-01-05 17:06:38 Reports of significant investments into IBM by companies indicate confidence in its potential growth and stability.
2026-01-05 17:06:38 The articles discuss increases in IBM's stock value and overall improvements in trading performance amid analyst upgrades.
2026-01-05 17:06:38 There is a noticeable shift towards a 'risk-on' attitude among investors as reflected in stock upgrades for IBM and other companies.
2026-01-05 17:06:38 Several articles highlight upgrades from analysts, specifically focusing on IBM, indicating positive expectations for the company's stock performance.
2026-01-05 15:49:08 The upgrade and downgrade are part of a broader review of the software sector, suggesting ongoing evaluation and shifts in investor confidence within this industry.
2026-01-05 15:49:08 The article discusses the upgrade of IBM's stock to a buy by Jefferies, indicating positive analyst sentiment toward IBM while highlighting a downgrade of Adobe, reflecting a more critical view of Adobe's stock performance.
2026-01-05 13:49:32 The downgrading of Adobe alongside the upgrade of another tech company highlights the competitive landscape within the tech sector, emphasizing how companies vie for market position.
2026-01-05 13:49:32 The mention of a review of the software sector indicates broader trends affecting the technology industry as a whole and how companies are being assessed in light of market changes.
2026-01-05 13:49:32 The article discusses the impact of analyst upgrades and downgrades on stock performance, highlighting how such ratings can influence investor sentiment and market trends.
2026-01-05 11:49:57 The summary highlights the ongoing review of the software sector, indicating an evolving landscape in technology and potential market shifts.
2026-01-05 11:49:57 The article discusses Jefferies' decision to upgrade IBM's stock while downgrading Adobe, reflecting analyst opinions on the current performance of these tech companies.
2026-01-05 09:35:03 The article discusses the performance of companies within the software sector, indicating varying levels of confidence.
2026-01-05 09:35:03 Analysts are expressing differing views on tech stocks, highlighting upgrades for IBM while downgrading Adobe.


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