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| The price action of Biotechnology (IBB) sector is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to company-specific performance and market structure. The overall sentiment for Biotechnology sector is very positive (overall 3.3, positive 5.8, negative -2.5) on 20251018. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (2.9), Sector Price Trend (1.3), Broad Market Trend (0.8), and Option Speculation (0.75) will drive up the price. The forces of Price Level (-0.5), Market Risk Prefrence (-1), and Valuation Sentiment (-1) will drive down the price. 'Buy the dips' is the preferred trading strategy. Hourly SMA 20 trend line is likely to provide a support from any pullbacks. May short with small fund allocation when appropriate.The total negative sentiment score -2.5 setups for a powerful pullback when all negative forces work together (the positive forces hibernate) triggered by negative news events or a overbought condition. The swing to upside will be significant considering the high positive sentiment forces (5.8). The sentiment for Broad Market Trend is calculated based on SPY trend. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on IBB trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Prefrence is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Market Sentiment | Fundamentals | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-18 | 0% | 0% | 1.3 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 0 | ||||
| 2025-10-17 | 0% | 0% | 154.19 | 82 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.3 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 5 |
| 2025-10-16 | 0% | 0% | 153.42 | 82 | 0.02% | 0.26% | 0.5 | 1.1 | 3.2 | 7 |
| 2025-10-15 | 0% | 0.1% | 153.39 | 86 | 1.37% | 0.33% | 0.4 | 0.9 | 2.9 | 6.5 |
| 2025-10-14 | 0% | 0.1% | 151.32 | 78 | 0.25% | 0.47% | 1.6 | 2.2 | 3.1 | 0 |
| 2025-10-13 | 0% | 0.1% | 150.94 | 79 | 0.66% | 0.54% | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 8 |
| 2025-10-12 | 0% | 0.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0 | ||||
| 2025-10-11 | 0% | 0.1% | 1 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 0 | ||||
| 2025-10-10 | 0% | 0.1% | 149.95 | 76 | -1.38% | 0.61% | 1 | 1.9 | 2.2 | 0 |
| 2025-10-09 | 1% | 0.1% | 152.05 | 91 | 0.04% | 0.88% | 2.2 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 4.3 |
| Both emotion scores and sentiment scores are calculated in a -10 - +10 scale. | The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| IBB Behaviors |
| ● Biotechnology (3%): The directional probability for IBB is 0% from last trading session on Fri. Oct 17, 2025. Both emotion level -1 is much lower than sentiment level 2.9 on Sat. Oct 18, 2025. Biotechnology (IBB) is attracting noticeable market attention on Sat. Oct 18, 2025. IBB is likely to move lower. When the price move is against the technical setup, sentiment and emotion, it's a sign of trend reversal. |
| 1 (5) Biotech Gets a Bid and I'm Playing Thoughts on a sector that is pulling its own weight even as cracks are starting to regularly appear in the credit markets. (https://www.thestreet.com/) Fri. Oct 17, 2025 | |
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