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| Emerging markets are currently navigating a period of volatility, influenced by geopolitical tensions and economic challenges, particularly highlighted by developments in China. Despite this, there has been some outperformance in emerging market equities, alongside strong investor confidence in various emerging-market ETFs. Nonetheless, the sector faces pressures from rising energy prices and broader global instability. The sentiment remains mixed, with both opportunities and risks shaping the outlook. The price action of Emerging Markets (EEM) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.7 is very bearish. The market sentiment at 0 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for EEM since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-03-09. The forces of Asset Price Trend (-1.7), and Asset Sentiment (-0.1) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on EEM trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| EEM | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | 1%(0.7%) | 58.48 | 2.87% | 15 | 1.98% | -0.49% | -1.7 | 0.9 | 0.8% | 0.1 | Short | 65% | -0.1 | -4.5 |
| 2026-03-08 | 1%(0.6%) | -2.6 | -0.4 | 0.2 | -1 | |||||||||
| 2026-03-07 | 0%(0.4%) | -2.6 | -0.4 | 0.3 | -7 | |||||||||
| 2026-03-06 | 1%(0.7%) | 57.35 | 2.79% | -6 | -0.55% | -0.82% | -2.6 | 0 | 1.5% | 0.3 | Short | 70% | 1 | 0.7 |
| 2026-03-05 | 1%(0.7%) | 57.67 | 2.58% | -4 | -2.43% | -0.49% | -2.3 | -0.5 | 1.2% | 0.5 | Short | 70% | 1.7 | -3.1 |
| 2026-03-04 | 1%(0.6%) | 59.1 | 2.35% | 16 | 1.1% | -0.32% | -1.6 | -0.2 | 2.2% | 0.8 | Short | 65% | 2.6 | -2 |
| 2026-03-03 | 0%(0.4%) | 58.46 | 2.33% | 3 | -4.94% | -0.48% | -1.8 | -0.7 | 3.2% | 0.6 | Short | 70% | 2.1 | -1.5 |
| 2026-03-02 | 0%(0.4%) | 61.49 | 2.1% | 59 | -1.68% | 0.16% | 0.2 | 0 | 0.9% | 0.9 | Long | 55% | 1.7 | 6.3 |
| 2026-03-01 | 0%(0.4%) | 0.6 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 0 | |||||||||
| 2026-02-28 | 2%(0.6%) | 0.6 | 0.9 | 3.2 | 0 | |||||||||
| Short is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment and hourly trend are very weak. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (3) Emerging-Market Currencies Pare Drop as Oil, Dollar Surge Fade A gauge tracking emerging-market currencies trimmed losses to 0.1% after falling as much as 0.8% earlier in the session, with the dollar now trading flat and Brent crude back below $100 per barrel as Group of Seven finance ministers signaled they would take steps to support global energy supplies. “There is a touch of optimism for some coordination on an oil-reserve release,” said Brendan McKenna, a strategist at Wells Fargo in New York. The South Korean won and the Brazilian real were among the best-performers, gaining at least 0.5% each. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-7) 'Airfares are likely to rise': Rising jet fuel costs send airline stocks reeling Airline stocks sank on Monday as investors priced in the impact of flight cancellations and higher jet fuel costs resulting from the Middle East conflict. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-4) Stock market today: Nasdaq turns positive, Dow, S&P 500 slip as oil prices ease after spiking above $100 Oil's rise above $100 per barrel has unleashed fears of a more severe economic impact from the war in the Middle East. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 4 (-7) Airline stocks dive as oil-price spike could trigger a tipping point for travelers Airline stocks were set to continue their recent sharp selloff amid fears that travel demand will drop as the escalating Middle East conflict sends crude oil prices above $100 a barrel. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-7) Korean Stocks Slump 6%. Why Surging Energy Prices Are a Grave Threat. The operator of the Korea Exchange halted trading on shares at one point on Monday due to heightened volatility. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 6 (0) Emerging Markets Have Become a Fixed-Income Darling. The War in Iran Could Change That. Whether the emerging markets bull run continues will depend on how much the rise in oil prices threatens the global economy. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-7) Korean Stocks Slump 6%. Why Surging Energy Prices Are a Grave Threat. The operator of the Korea Exchange halted trading on shares at one point on Monday due to heightened volatility. (https://www.barrons.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 8 (-7) Japan Stocks Drop Most Since April on Oil Spike, Iran Fears The blue-chip Nikkei 225 lost as much as 6.9% in morning trading, the most since April 7, with tech names like SoftBank Group Corp. and Advantest Corp. among the worst hit. The declines come as oil surged above $110 a barrel, with major producers curbing production as the conflict around Iran reaches its ninth day. The pullback in Japanese equities is especially stark given their strong start to 2026 — the Nikkei had been outpacing major global indexes, powered by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s expansionary fiscal policies. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Mon. Mar 9, 2026 | ||
| 9 (-3) Iran Conflict Puts the Emerging-Markets Revival to the Test “We're waiting for more clarity,” said Nick Eisinger, the head of EM sovereign credit strategy at JPMorgan Asset Management. “We like the fundamental story across a lot of EM, but unfortunately the fundamental stories don’t really count for very much right now, so we need this shot to pass.” (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Sun. Mar 8, 2026 | ||
| 10 (6) Oil price surge could boost these Chinese stocks, Goldman says Goldman Sachs' Asia Pacific energy analysts predict two of China's three oil giants could benefit if Brent prices climb amid sustained Middle East tensions. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Sun. Mar 8, 2026 | ||
| 11 (-6) Iran Conflict Puts the Emerging-Markets Revival to the Test The war in Iran has dealt a blow to one of Wall Street’s favorite trades — emerging markets. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Sun. Mar 8, 2026 | ||
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