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Costco (COST) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Fri. Sep 26, 2025

The price action of Costco (COST) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 1.4 is very bullish. The market sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.COST is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 1, and the negative at -0.5 on 2025-09-26. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.8), Option Sentiment (1.5), Stock Price Trend (1.4), and Price Level Sentiment (1) will drive up the price. The forces of Sector Price Trend (-0.5), Market Risk Appetite (-1.3), and Valuation Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


Earning Release: 2025-12-10 10:00, EPS: $18.21, P/E: 50.3

DateAttentionAverage
Attention
PricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-09-261%      0.3%        915.95 -18      -2.9%      -0.55%      1.4      0.4      Long    75    1.8      0.5     
2025-09-251%      0.1%        943.31 24      -0.21%      -0.22%      -0.3      -0      Long    40    1.5      4.2     
2025-09-240%      0%        945.27 27      0.18%      -0.12%      -0.7      -0.2      Short    -30    0.7      5.5     
2025-09-230%      0%        943.6 24      0.04%      -0.38%      -0.4      0      Long    40    0.5      6.5     
2025-09-220%      0%        943.26 24      -0.83%      -0.29%      -0.5      -0.2      Long    10    -0.6      -1.5     
2025-09-210%      0%      -0.7      -0.4      Wait    0    -0.7      -1.5     
2025-09-200%      0%      -0.7      -0.4      Short    -30    -0.2      -1.5     
2025-09-180%      0%        952.36 41      -1.11%      -0.03%      -0.5      -0      Wait    0    -0.7      -1.5     
2025-09-140%      0%      0.3      -0.1      Short    -10    0.1      -1.5     
2025-09-100%      0%        956.29 41      -2.34%      0.16%      0.4      0.3      Long    30    0.8      -1.5     
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with probability of 75. The price has reached the lower boundary of Bollinger band while the market sentiment (moving force) is positive.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-09-26 17:28:40 Some analysts express caution about Costco's stock while noting potential strengths.
2025-09-26 17:28:40 Costco's recent quarterly results showed weaker-than-expected sales and membership rates.
2025-09-26 17:28:40 Recent performance of Costco's stock has been weak, indicating possible investor concerns.
2025-09-26 17:03:02 Costco is adapting its product offerings to attract younger consumers by including trendy and larger items, which reflects an evolution in its retail strategy.
2025-09-26 17:03:02 Costco faces increasing competition from other retailers, which raises concerns about sustaining its market position and premium valuation amidst changing consumer behaviors.
2025-09-26 17:03:02 Costco's stock has experienced downward movement following its latest earnings report, reflecting investor caution in light of the company's financial indicators.
2025-09-26 17:03:02 Despite certain challenges, Costco has reported better-than-expected Q4 earnings and revenue growth, highlighting its resilience in the market.
2025-09-26 17:03:02 Costco is aggressively expanding its number of warehouse locations to alleviate crowding and attract more customers, indicating a strong growth trajectory.
2025-09-26 13:30:16 The discussion on macroeconomic uncertainties reflects ongoing challenges facing the retail sector.
2025-09-26 13:30:16 Costco's ability to achieve market share gains showcases its competitive edge in the retail industry.
2025-09-26 13:30:16 The article highlights Costco's strong earnings growth despite economic uncertainties, indicating financial stability and effective management.


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