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| The price action of Costco (COST) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.3 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for COST since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.6 on 2025-09-25. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-1.6), Valuation Sentiment (-1.5), Sector Price Trend (-0.5), and Stock Price Trend (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Price Level Sentiment (0.5), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (1.5), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-25 | 1% | 0.1% | 943.31 | 24 | -0.21% | -0.22% | -0.3 | -0 | Long | 40 | 1.5 | 4.2 |
| 2025-09-24 | 0% | 0% | 945.27 | 27 | 0.18% | -0.12% | -0.7 | -0.2 | Short | -30 | 0.7 | 5.5 |
| 2025-09-23 | 0% | 0% | 943.6 | 24 | 0.04% | -0.38% | -0.4 | 0 | Long | 40 | 0.5 | 6.5 |
| 2025-09-22 | 0% | 0% | 943.26 | 24 | -0.83% | -0.29% | -0.5 | -0.2 | Long | 10 | -0.6 | -1.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.4 | Wait | 0 | -0.7 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-20 | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.4 | Short | -30 | -0.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-18 | 0% | 0% | 952.36 | 41 | -1.11% | -0.03% | -0.5 | -0 | Wait | 0 | -0.7 | -1.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | 0% | 0% | 0.3 | -0.1 | Short | -10 | 0.1 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-10 | 0% | 0% | 956.29 | 41 | -2.34% | 0.16% | 0.4 | 0.3 | Long | 50 | 0.8 | -1.5 |
| 2025-06-24 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.1 | Long | 75 | -0.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with probability of 40. The price has reached the lower part of Bollinger band while the trend sentiment and market sentiment (moving force) has subdued. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||
| 2025-09-25 18:27:56 The impact of tariffs and economic conditions might be influencing Costco's pricing strategies and sales performance. |
| 2025-09-25 18:27:56 Costco's strong membership base and product offerings provide it with competitive advantages in the retail sector. |
| 2025-09-25 18:27:56 Costco's ability to attract a younger customer demographic reflects broader trends in retail focusing on value and digital offerings. |
| 2025-09-25 18:27:56 Despite some fluctuations, Costco's stock has shown significant growth over the years, particularly benefiting from steady sales growth. |
| 2025-09-25 18:27:56 Costco has consistently reported earnings that exceed market expectations, indicating strong financial performance. |
| 2025-09-25 18:01:48 Discussions around the stock performance of Costco, including trends and predictions ahead of earnings reports are prevalent. |
| 2025-09-25 18:01:48 There is a focus on Costco's ability to attract younger members and how this affects its sales growth and market position. |
| 2025-09-25 18:01:48 Several articles indicate concerns over Costco's rising expenses and their impact on profit margins despite high sales. |
| 2025-09-25 18:01:48 Costco's edge over competitors through better pricing, product offerings, and member services is a common theme in the articles. |
| 2025-09-25 18:01:48 Articles frequently discuss Costco's earnings reports, highlighting how the company performs against Wall Street estimates. |