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| The price action of Costco (COST) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for COST since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.4 on 2025-09-23. The forces of Valuation Sentiment (-1.5), Sector Price Trend (-0.5), Stock Price Trend (-0.4), and Market Risk Appetite (-0.3) will drive down the price. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.5), Price Level Sentiment (0.5), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price. The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| Date | Attention | Average Attention | Price | Price Level | Change | SMA10 Trend | Trend Sentiment | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Fund. | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-23 | 0% | 0% | 943.6 | 24 | 0.04% | -0.38% | -0.4 | 0 | Long | 70% | 0.5 | 6.5 |
| 2025-09-22 | 0% | 0% | 943.26 | 24 | -0.83% | -0.29% | -0.5 | -0.2 | Wait | 50% | -0.6 | -1.5 |
| 2025-09-21 | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.4 | Short | 65% | -0.7 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-20 | 0% | 0% | -0.7 | -0.4 | Short | 65% | -0.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-18 | 0% | 0% | 952.36 | 41 | -1.11% | -0.03% | -0.5 | -0 | Wait | 50% | -0.7 | -1.5 |
| 2025-09-14 | 0% | 0% | 0.3 | -0.1 | Short | 55% | 0.1 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-09-10 | 0% | 0% | 956.29 | 41 | -2.34% | 0.16% | 0.4 | 0.3 | Long | 75% | 0.8 | -1.5 |
| 2025-06-24 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.1 | Long | 88% | -0.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-05-13 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.2 | Long | 88% | 0.2 | -1.5 | ||||
| 2025-05-10 | 0% | 0% | 1 | 0.3 | Long | 88% | 0.9 | -1.5 | ||||
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 70 probability of winning. The price has reached the lower part of Bollinger band while the trend sentiment and market sentiment (moving force) has subdued. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||
| 2025-09-23 19:02:24 Current economic conditions and cost concerns are impacting consumer behavior and retail sales, including those at Costco. |
| 2025-09-23 19:02:24 Costco's unique value propositions and business model provide it with competitive advantages in the retail sector. |
| 2025-09-23 19:02:24 Costco is positioned well within prevailing retail market trends that favor strong, established brands. |
| 2025-09-23 19:02:24 Analysts generally view Costco positively, suggesting confidence in its future as an investment opportunity. |
| 2025-09-23 19:02:24 Discussion around Costco's stock performance highlights its historical success and current standing in the market. |
| 2025-09-23 14:31:22 The article discusses how Costco's supply chain strength gives it a competitive edge in the industry. |
| 2025-09-23 14:31:22 Analysts express optimism regarding Costco's growth and future positioning within the market. |
| 2025-09-23 14:31:22 Costco's robust supply chain management is highlighted as a key factor contributing to its resilience against tariff pressures. |