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| International bonds are currently in focus, especially with increasing corporate bond sales and investor interest amid global economic pressures. Factors such as rising interest rates and potential capital gains tax changes in regions like India are influencing market dynamics. The strength of the US dollar presents an additional factor, providing a safe haven in uncertain times. Overall, investor sentiment is mixed, reflecting a complex landscape with both opportunities and challenges. The price action of International Bonds (BNDX) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The market sentiment at 0.5 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for BNDX since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at 0 on 2026-06-11. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Asset Sentiment (0.5), Asset Price Trend (0), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive down the price. The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on BNDX trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band. |
| BNDX | ||||||||||||||
| Date | Attention | Price | StdDev | Price Level | Change | 10 Day Trend | Trend Sentiment | Hourly Trend Sentiment | Hourly StdDev | Market Sentiment | Action | P | Asset Sentiment | News Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | 1%(0.6%) | 48.17 | 0.42% | 71 | 0.5% | 0% | 0 | 0.2 | 0.1% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 0.5 | -1.1 |
| 2026-06-10 | 1%(0.4%) | 47.93 | 0.42% | 41 | -0.15% | 0% | 0 | -0.2 | 0.1% | 0.5 | Short | 55% | 0.4 | -0.2 |
| 2026-06-09 | 0%(0.3%) | 48 | 0.42% | 49 | 0.08% | 0% | -0.2 | 0 | 0% | 0.4 | Long | 55% | 0.2 | -3 |
| 2026-06-08 | 1%(0.3%) | 47.96 | 0.42% | 44 | -0.12% | -0.21% | -0.2 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.2 | Long | 55% | -0.5 | 4.5 |
| 2026-06-07 | 1%(0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-06 | 0%(0.1%) | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 5 | |||||||||
| 2026-06-05 | 0%(0.1%) | 48.02 | 0.42% | 52 | -0.15% | 0.21% | 0.2 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.5 | Long | 55% | 0 | 4 |
| 2026-06-04 | 0%(0.3%) | 48.09 | 0.44% | 60 | 0.1% | 0% | -0.2 | 0 | 0.1% | 0.3 | Long | 55% | -0.3 | 1.5 |
| 2026-06-03 | 0%(0.4%) | 48.04 | 0.44% | 54 | -0.33% | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0.1% | -0.1 | Long | 55% | -1.7 | -2 |
| 2026-06-02 | 0%(0.6%) | 48.2 | 0.44% | 73 | 0.2% | 0.21% | 0.2 | 0 | 0.2% | 0.1 | Long | 55% | -1.4 | 5 |
| Long is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Improving trend sentiment and positive hourly trend. Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position. | ||||||||||||||
| Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force. | ||||||||||||||
| Market News | ||
| 1 (4) Centerview, Venezuela Discussed $150 Million Fee for Debt Rework Centerview Partners was in negotiations with Venezuela as recently as last month for a contract worth at least $150 million for its work as the sole financial adviser on the country’s debt restructuring, a sum that would far exceed payouts for past sovereign deals, according to a draft of the agreement seen by Bloomberg. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 2 (-1) ECB Likely Needs to Keep Hiking After Thursday’s Move, IMF Says The European Central Bank will need to raise borrowing costs again, the International Monetary Fund said just hours after officials in Frankfurt delivered a quarter-point hike. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 3 (-3) EU Budget Plan Shrinks as Wealthier States Push Back on Spending European Union leaders are set to discuss a smaller long-term budget when they meet next week, as richer countries balk at footing the bill for most of the bloc’s enlarged spending plan. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 4 (3) ECB raises interest rates by quarter point to 2.25% Central bank is first in G7 to increase borrowing costs in response to Middle East energy crisis (https://www.ft.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 5 (-2) ECB Hikes for First Time Since 2023 as Inflation Heats Up The European Central Bank raised interest rates for the first time in almost three years, concluding it can no longer wait out the Iran war as inflation pressures intensify. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 6 (-4) The ECB Is Jumping at Old Inflation Shadows Policymakers at the European Central Bank have just increased their benchmark interest rate by a quarter-point to 2.25%, the first change in policy in a year. While widely anticipated, the decision threatens to tip a faltering economy into recession — especially if the current bout of price increases proves unsustainable and the European energy market remains as well behaved as it has since the war in Iran began. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 7 (-1) CNBC Daily Open: ECB heads for a hike amid Iran energy price pressures The European Central Bank is expected to make its first interest rate hike in nearly three years amid increasing inflationary pressure due to the Iran war. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 8 (-5) ECB hikes interest rates for first time since 2023 as Iran war ramps up energy costs The European Central Bank also raised its inflation forecasts and cut its growth outlook. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Thu. Jun 11, 2026 | ||
| 9 (2) ECB Rate Hike Looks Likely as Inflation Rises. The Fed Could Follow. The European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates for the first time since 2023 as inflation accelerates, a move that could offer clues about the Federal Reserve’s next steps. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Jun 10, 2026 | ||
| 10 (2) Canadian bonds rally after Bank of Canada holds rates, cites weak economy Canadian bonds rallied after the Bank of Canada held interest rates and Governor Tiff Macklem described the economy as “weak.” Read here now (https://financialpost.com/) Wed. Jun 10, 2026 | ||
| 11 (-3) Canadian Bonds Rally After BOC Holds Rates, Cites Weak Economy Canadian government bonds rallied across the curve after the Bank of Canada held its policy interest rate steady and Governor Tiff Macklem described the economy as “weak.” (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Wed. Jun 10, 2026 | ||
| 12 (-4) Japan’s Producer Prices Jump Again on Elevated Energy Costs Japan’s corporate goods prices jumped again in May, signaling strengthening inflationary pressures rippling across domestic supply chains as the war in Iran drags on and keeps energy prices elevated. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Wed. Jun 10, 2026 | ||
| 13 (2) China’s Consumer Inflation Stalls Even as Factory Prices Surge China’s consumer inflation unexpectedly stalled in May even as factory prices gained at the fastest pace in almost four years, as higher commodity costs bring closer the end of a record streak of economy-wide deflation. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Wed. Jun 10, 2026 | ||
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