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U.S. Bonds (BND) Price Prediction and News Highlight
Wed. Mar 11, 2026

One Week Return: -0.83%, One Month Return: -0.58%, Three Month Return: -0.5%

Recent trends indicate significant selling pressure on U.S. Treasury bonds, driven by geopolitical tensions and disappointing employment data that have raised concerns among investors. Inflation fears are persistently influencing bond yields, leading to fluctuations in the market. While higher yields may reflect economic uncertainty, there are signs of recovery in the corporate bond sector, providing a glimmer of hope amid the challenges. Investors are seeking safe havens, emphasizing the traditional role of Treasuries in uncertain times.

The price action of U.S. Bonds (BND) asset class is shaped by numerous forces, ranging from broad macroeconomic trends to asset-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. The market sentiment at 0.1 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for BND since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.5 on 2026-03-11. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), and Price Level Sentiment (1) will drive up the price. The forces of Asset Price Trend (-0.4), and Asset Sentiment (-1.4) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Asset Price Trend is calculated based on BND trend. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Asset Sentiment scores are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


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BND
DateAttentionPriceStdDevPrice
Level
Change10 Day
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
StdDev
Market
Sentiment
ActionPAsset
Sentiment
News
Sentiment
2026-03-112%(1.6%)      73.89 0.43% -13    -0.44%    -0.13% -0.4    -0.1    0.3% 0.2    Wait    50% -1.4    -0.5   
2026-03-102%(1.3%)      74.22 0.36% 6    -0.31%    -0.13% -0.1    -0.1    0.1% -0.1    Short    55% -2.2    0.9   
2026-03-091%(1.3%)      74.45 0.36% 27    0.28%    0% -0.1    0.1    0.1% -0.3    Long    55% -2.3    -3.9   
2026-03-082%(1.3%)    -0.2    -0.5          -2.1    -5.3   
2026-03-070%(1.1%)    -0.2    -0.5          -2    0   
2026-03-063%(1.3%)      74.24 0.38% 9    -0.13%    -0.13% -0.2    0    0.2% 0.1    Long    55% -1.5    -4.4   
2026-03-051%(1%)      74.34 0.38% 18    -0.23%    0% -0.2    0    0.2% 0.4    Long    55% -0.5    -3   
2026-03-040%(1%)      74.51 0.43% 43    -0.07%    -0.13% -0.2    -0.1    0.1% 0.2    Short    55% -0.5    -1.7   
2026-03-032%(1.1%)      74.56 0.48% 47    -0.11%    0% 0    -0.1    0.3% 0.5    Short    55% 0.3    -5.6   
2026-03-021%(1%)      74.64 0.52% 53    -0.71%    0% -0.1    -0.1    0.3% 0.5    Short    55% 0.5    -4.8   
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

  Market News
 
1 (0) CPI Holds Near Fed Target but Energy Prices Push Bond Yields Higher Market Analysis by covering: Gold Spot US Dollar, Silver Spot US Dollar, S&P 500, AEX. Read 's Market Analysis on Investing.com (https://www.investing.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
2 (-4) Treasury Auction to Reveal Debt Appetite as War Rages in Middle East If demand underwhelms, it will signal that investors don’t see a relative value case to buy U.S. debt. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
3 (-6) Europe Rushes to Contain Price Fallout From War in Middle East European governments are rushing to stem rising energy and food prices as the Middle East war threatens another wave of inflationary pressure. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
4 (-4) What Wall Street is saying after latest consumer inflation report as investors fret over rising oil prices Wall Street is discounting the latest inflation report for February in the wake of the U.S.-Iran War that broke out on the last day of the month. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
5 (-2) February CPI breakdown: Inflation steadies, but consumers brace for energy fallout Here's what the latest inflation report means for your spending power, as households brace for Iran-driven price shocks in the months ahead. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
 
6 (5) CPI Report Today: Inflation Holds Steady at 2.4% The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the consumer price (CPI) index, a gauge of inflation, for February earlier today at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time. (https://www.barrons.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
7 (-2) Treasury yields gain after sticky February inflation reading, oil price increase U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Wednesday as assessed February's inflation report and monitored developments on the US-Iran war front. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
8 (0) Inflation Holds Steady At 2.4% In February, Before Iran War Sent Fuel Prices Higher U.S. consumer inflation held steady in February, with prices rising at an annual pace consistent with market expectations, according to government data released Wednesday. (https://www.benzinga.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
9 (5) Feb. CPI meets estimates, with inflation mostly holding steady Prices rose 0.3% month over month and 2.4% year over year in February, according to the latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) survey. Core CPI — which excludes food and energy costs — rose 0.2% monthly and 2.5% yearly. All numbers matched economists' estimates. Morning Brief host Julie Hyman and Yahoo Finance Head of News Myles Udland break down the latest inflation data. To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
10 (1) Prices held steady last month, CPI data shows Consumer prices broadly remained unchanged last month, holding steady just before war with Iran rattled markets and threatened to wear a hole in Americans' pocketbooks, government data shows. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
 
11 (2) CPI report today: Consumer prices rose modestly in February but Iran conflict threatens to undo progress Follow MarketWatch's live coverage of the consumer price index for February, and its impact on the economy and markets. (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Wed. Mar 11, 2026
12 (7) Amazon joins Meta, Google in jumbo bond club with up to $42 billion issuance Amazon is preparing one of the largest corporate bond offerings in history to fund its AI buildout (https://www.marketwatch.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
13 (-4) Three-Year Note Auction Attracts Below Average Demand The Treasury Department kicked off this week's series of announcements of the results of its long-term securities on Tuesday, revealing this month's auction of $58 billion worth of three-year notes attracted below average demand. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
14 (0) Treasuries Close Roughly Flat For Second Straight Day In a mirror image of the performance in the previous sessions, treasuries saw early strength on Tuesday before giving back ground over the course of the day. Bond prices pulled back off their highs in afternoon trading, closing roughly flat for the second straight session. (https://www.rttnews.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
15 (-6) The Treasury Market Is Not Ready For An Energy Shock ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero (https://www.zerohedge.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
 
16 (-4) Why the Selloff in Treasuries Isn’t Just About Oil Prices Inflation worries, stoked by the impact of the Iran war on oil prices, are troubling the Treasury market. But there are other rworries, too. (https://www.barrons.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
17 (8) Amazon Deal Lifts US High-Grade Bond Sales to Record Session The US corporate investment-grade bond market posted its largest day on record as companies including Amazon.com Inc. launched nearly $66 billion of new debt. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
18 (8) Amazon Attracts About $126 Billion of Orders for US Bond Sale Amazon.com Inc. has drawn about $126 billion of peak demand for its US bond sale, one of the largest ever for a corporate offering, according to people with direct knowledge of the matter. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
19 (5) Salesforce Plans to Raise Up to $25 Billion to Fund Buybacks Salesforce Inc. is planning to sell as much as $25 billion of debt to fund a share buyback, according to people with knowledge of the matter, in what would be the software firm’s biggest-ever note sale. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
20 (-2) Treasuries Fall as Corporate Bond Market Comes Back to Life Treasuries fell as oil and US stock prices stabilized and corporate bond sales resumed after a two-day hiatus. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
 
21 (5) Amazon Looks to Raise at Least $37 Billion Through Bond Sale The tech giant is targeting the equivalent of about $37 billion to $42 billion in a cross-Atlantic offering in dollars and euros, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The firm is marketing US high-grade debt in as many as 11 tranches, ranging from two to 50 years, and it seeks to raise $25 billion to $30 billion, the people said, asking not to be identified because discussions are private. Initial price discussions for the longest portion of that offering — a note maturing in 2076 — involve a yield of about 1.55 percentage points more than Treasuries, one of the people said. (https://finance.yahoo.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
22 (7) Amazon Starts Bond Sale That Aims to Raise at Least $37 Billion Amazon.com Inc. has kicked off what is likely to be one of the biggest corporate bond offerings ever, in the latest blockbuster fundraising to pay for the artificial intelligence boom. (https://www.bloomberg.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
23 (-6) As Iran war disrupts oil prices, consumers could be 'hammered,' economist says The Iran war may impact U.S. consumers far beyond the gas pump, raising inflation expectations and causing an uptick in the yield on the 10-year Treasury note. (https://www.cnbc.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026
24 (-7) U.S. and Iran Predicted a Very Different War Than the One Now Being Waged Economic disruption stemming from the conflict is hurting countries worldwide—while providing a windfall to Russia. (https://www.wsj.com/) Tue. Mar 10, 2026


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