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Amazon.com (AMZN) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Oct 2, 2025

The price action of Amazon.com (AMZN) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.6 is bullish. The market sentiment at 0.3 is modestly bullish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.AMZN is likely to move up since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.6, and the negative at -0.3 on 2025-10-02. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Market Risk Appetite (0.8), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0.7), Stock Price Trend (0.6), Sector Price Trend (0.4), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of and Valuation Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


Earning Release: 2025-10-30 02:00, EPS: $6.57, P/E: 33.85

DateAttentionAverage
Attention
PricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-10-021%      0.9%        222.41 30      0.81%      -0.4%      0.6      0.4      Long    65%    0.7      2.3     
2025-10-011%      1%        220.63 20      0.48%      -0.49%      -0.7      -0.1      Short    60%    0.3      2.5     
2025-09-301%      1%        219.57 14      -1.17%      -0.62%      -0.3      0.2      Long    70%    0.1      4     
2025-09-291%      1%        222.17 22      1.09%      -0.4%      -0.6      -0.5      Wait    50%    -2.1      6     
2025-09-281%      0.9%      -0.6      -1.1      Wait    50%    -3.1      3.5     
2025-09-270%      1.1%      -0.6      -1.2      Wait    50%    -3.7      -1.5     
2025-09-261%      1.3%        219.78 9      0.75%      -0.4%      -0.6      -0.9      Wait    50%    -3.9      4     
2025-09-252%      1.1%        218.15 -5      -0.94%      -0.48%      -1.4      -1      Wait    50%    -3.8      -4.2     
2025-09-241%      0.9%        220.21 -5      -0.23%      -0.48%      -1.3      -0.8      Wait    50%    -3.9      2.7     
2025-09-231%      0.7%        220.71 -13      -3.04%      -0.73%      -0.6      -0.7      Wait    50%    -3.7      -7.3     
 
Long is the preferred trading strategy with 65% chance of being right. The trend sentiment plus market sentiment (moving force) is positive, and market sentiment change is positive. The price level is not too high.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-10-02 17:28:06 The crash of delivery drones indicates potential legal challenges and operational risks associated with drone technology.
2025-10-02 17:28:06 The investigations by the FAA and NTSB highlight increased regulatory scrutiny around drone safety and operations.
2025-10-02 17:01:26 Despite some headwinds, discussions around Amazon's advertising and overall market performance showcase optimism regarding its growth trajectory.
2025-10-02 17:01:26 There are references to Amazon's strategies to cater to price-sensitive consumers, signifying challenges related to maintaining profitability amid rising costs.
2025-10-02 17:01:26 Regulatory investigations into Amazon's delivery drones suggest significant concern regarding safety and compliance, affecting public perception and operations.
2025-10-02 17:01:26 Several articles highlight Amazon's continuous innovation and product expansion, including new grocery brands and updated Echo devices, indicating a focus on meeting consumer needs.
2025-10-02 17:01:26 The articles frequently discuss the intense competition Amazon faces from other companies like Mercado Libre, particularly in the context of pricing strategies and market share.
2025-10-02 13:29:12 Amazon is strategically targeting areas in the retail sector to capture a larger market share.
2025-10-02 13:29:12 Amazon is expanding its grocery offerings to focus on cost-effective items, appealing to budget-conscious consumers.
2025-10-02 13:29:12 Amazon's advertising division is becoming increasingly crucial for the company's profitability and future growth.
2025-10-02 09:30:30 Amazon's introduction of new features like Search Party highlights innovation and advancements in their service offerings.
2025-10-02 09:30:30 JPMorgan's refreshed stock picks indicate positive sentiments towards companies like Amazon, suggesting strong stock performance prospects.


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