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Amazon.com (AMZN) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Tue. May 6, 2025

The price action of Amazon.com (AMZN) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at 0.7 is bullish. The market sentiment at -0.2 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.There is no clear direction for AMZN since trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.4, and the negative at -0.6 on 2025-05-06. The forces of Option Sentiment (1.5), Sector Price Trend (0.7), Stock Price Trend (0.7), and Price Level Sentiment (0) will drive up the price. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-0.9), Sentiment towards Fundamentals (-1.1), and Valuation Sentiment (-1.5) will drive down the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-05-060%(0%)      185.01 60      -0.72%      0.65%      0.7      0.18%      -0.2      Short    55%    -1.1      -1.5     
2025-05-050%(0%)      186.35 66      -1.91%      1.03%      1      0.25%      0.2      Long    70%    -1.3      -1.5     
2025-05-040%(0%)    1.4      -0.1      -1.7      -1.5     
2025-05-030%(0%)    1.4      -0.1      -1.8      -1.5     
2025-05-020%(0%)      189.98 81      -0.12%      0.93%      1.4      0.35%      0.1      Long    75%    -1.5      -1.5     
2025-05-010%(0%)      190.2 85      3.13%      0.89%      1.5      0.38%      0.3      Long    75%    -1.2      -1.5     
2025-04-300%(0%)      184.42 62      -1.58%      0.28%      0.5      0.13%      0.3      Wait    50%    -0.8      -1.5     
2025-04-290%(0%)      187.39 70      -0.17%      0.28%      1.4      0.35%      0.4      Long    70%    -1.4      -1.5     
2025-04-280%(0%)      187.7 70      -0.68%      0.17%      1.7      0.43%      0.6      Long    70%    -1.1      -1.5     
2025-04-270%(0%)    2.2      0.6      -1.4      -1.5     
 
Short is the preferred trading strategy with 55% chance of being right. Both trend sentiment change and market sentiment change are negative while the price level is not extremely depressed.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-05-19 00:57:54 The competitive dynamics involving Amazon's investment in Deliveroo amid the acquisition bid by DoorDash, highlighting strategic partnerships.
2025-05-19 00:57:54 The perception that current market challenges present potential buying opportunities, particularly in technology stocks.
2025-05-19 00:57:54 Discussion around the expected negative impact of tariffs on Amazon's retail and earnings performance in the near future.
2025-05-19 00:57:54 Despite market fluctuations, Amazon is viewed as a strong long-term investment due to its consistent performance and strategic market positioning.
2025-05-19 00:57:54 Themes arise from the challenges faced by Amazon's Zoox unit regarding the crash and regulatory implications of its robotaxi program.


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