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Amazon.com (AMZN) Stock Price Prediction and News Highlight
Thu. Apr 3, 2025

The price action of Amazon.com (AMZN) is impacted by broad market risk appetite, sector price trend, company-specific performance and market structure. The trend sentiment at -1.4 is very bearish. The market sentiment at -0.4 is modestly bearish. Trend sentiment measures the current trend of the stock price, and market sentiment reflects what market participants collectively think where the price will move next.AMZN is likely to move down since both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative. The positive sentiment force for sector is at 0.5, and the negative at -0.9 on 2025-04-03. The forces of Market Risk Appetite (-1.9), Valuation Sentiment (-1.5), Stock Price Trend (-1.4), and Sector Price Trend (-0.8) will drive down the price. The forces of Sentiment towards Fundamentals (0), Price Level Sentiment (1.5), and Option Sentiment (1.5) will drive up the price.

The sentiment for Sector Price Trend is calculated based on the price trend of related sector ETF. The sentiment for Option Speculation is calculated from put/call ratio. The Risk Appetite is calculated from Bitcoin price trend. Price Level sentiment is positive when oversold, and negative when overbought. Valuation Sentiment, and Sentimentals towards Fundamentals are extracted from headlines and market commentary. All sentiment scores are normalized on a -10 - +10 scale. The price level reaches 100 at Bollinger upper band, and zero at lower band.


DateAttentionPricePrice
Level
ChangeSMA10
Trend
Trend
Sentiment
Hourly
Trend
Market
Sentiment
ActionPFund.News
Sentiment
2025-04-030%(0%)      178.41 -29      -8.98%      -0.86%      -1.4      -0.35%      -0.4      Wait    50%    0      -1.5     
2025-04-020%(0%)      196.01 44      2%      0.05%      -0.5      -0.13%      0      Short    65%    0.5      -1.5     
2025-04-010%(0%)      192.17 21      1%      -0.05%      -0.7      -0.18%      -0.1      Wait    50%    0.4      -1.5     
2025-03-310%(0%)      190.26 7      -1.28%      -0.25%      -0.8      -0.2%      -0      Wait    50%    0.5      -1.5     
2025-03-280%(0%)      192.72 15      -4.29%      -0.3%      -0.5      -0.13%      0.2      Short    60%    0.9      -1.5     
2025-03-270%(0%)      201.36 57      0.11%      0.4%      0.6      0.15%      0.5      Long    70%    0.5      -1.5     
2025-03-260%(0%)      201.13 54      -2.23%      0.1%      0.8      0.2%      0.3      Short    70%    -0.2      -1.5     
2025-03-250%(0%)      205.71 69      1.21%      0.46%      2      0.5%      0.7      Long    65%    -0.3      -1.5     
2025-03-240%(0%)      203.26 57      3.59%      0.46%      1.7      0.43%      0.7      Long    65%    -0.2      -1.5     
2025-03-210%(0%)      196.21 30      0.65%      -0.15%      -0.3      -0.08%      -0.3      Short    65%    -0.3      -1.5     
 
Wait is the preferred trading strategy with 50% chance of being right.

Wait action is recommended in three scenarios with either high uncertainty or high risk: 1. The trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the opposite directions. 2. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are positive, but the price level is elevated. 3. Both trend sentiment and market sentiment are negative, but the price level is depressed. In an uptrend, as an investor, you may want to wait for the pullback to open long position. In a downtrend, the price will likely rebound after huge decline. As an investor, you may want to wait for the rebound to exit long position.

Market sentiment will accelerate the current trend when both trend sentiment and market sentiment are at the same direction. Market sentiment will generate volatility when it's at the opposite direction of the trend sentiment. News sentiment measures the daily emotion of the market. News sentiment may impact the daily price change while market sentiment is a more stable and consistent moving force.

2025-05-19 01:02:30 Articles reflecting on market reactions to tariffs and Amazon's anticipated financial gains from innovations provide insight into the company's financial health.
2025-05-19 01:02:30 The articles explore regulatory challenges, particularly relating to tariffs and discriminatory practices in the EU, indicating a complex legal landscape for Amazon.
2025-05-19 01:02:30 Reports on Amazon's advancements such as the AI shopping assistant Rufus and self-driving car innovations reflect Amazon's commitment to service development and customer engagement.
2025-05-19 01:02:30 Various articles cover Amazon's strategic moves, including its bid for TikTok and the launch of Project Kuiper, showcasing its focus on enhancing competitive advantages.
2025-05-19 01:02:30 The articles consistently discuss how Trump's tariffs negatively impact Amazon's stock and the broader e-commerce market, highlighting concerns about rising costs.


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